Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: TJ Unie Hlubina vs FK Hodonin

Team pages: TJ Unie Hlubina · FK Hodonin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

TJ Unie Hlubina1.61

FK Hodonin1.49

1X2

40% 25% 35%

TJ Unie Hlubina Draw FK Hodonin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Unie Hlubina 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWDDDL

FK Hodonin 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLWLLWW

Head-to-head

TJ Unie Hlubina 1–1–2 FK Hodonin (4 last)

FK Hodonin1-1TJ Unie Hlubina
TJ Unie Hlubina3-2FK Hodonin
TJ Unie Hlubina3-5FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin3-1TJ Unie Hlubina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Unie Hlubina 1515 · FK Hodonin 1471

	TJ Unie Hlubina	Draw	FK Hodonin
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	41%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Unie Hlubina (rating 1515 vs 1471).
H2H favours FK Hodonin: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Unie Hlubina	FK Hodonin
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.8	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.80

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:59 +19’	2.20	3.80	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Unie Hlubina 1–1–2 FK Hodonin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	1-1 HT 0-0	TJ Unie Hlubina
08/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	TJ Unie Hlubina	3-2 HT 1-1	FK Hodonin
04/06/25 Czechia 3. Liga	TJ Unie Hlubina	3-5 HT 2-1	FK Hodonin
09/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	3-1 HT 2-0	TJ Unie Hlubina

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	SK Unicov	10	6	2	2	19	13	20
4	Frydek Mistek	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
5	Sigma Olomouc B	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	SK Hranice	10	5	1	4	14	9	16
7	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	10	4	3	3	25	18	15
9	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	SFK Vrchovina	10	4	2	4	11	16	14
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
13	FK Hodonin	10	3	2	5	10	12	11
14	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
15	FK Blansko	10	1	4	5	15	27	7
16	FC Vsetin	10	2	1	7	10	24	7
17	Polanka	10	1	3	6	6	14	6
18	MFK Havirov	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Unie Hlubina	FK Hodonin
SK Hranice	4-1 W	0-1 L
Sigma Olomouc B	2-3 L	2-0 W
FC Vsetin	4-2 W	2-0 W
FC Brno II	8-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Unie Hlubina (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Unie Hlubina

WWLWLWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	6	2	L
19/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
13/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
05/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-1	5	5	W
30/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
22/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
15/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	6	5	L
08/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	8	1	W
31/07	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	6-2	8-2	2	4	W

FK Hodonin

LDLDLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
20/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
06/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
02/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
29/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
23/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
08/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	3	6	D
01/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Unie Hlubina vs FK Hodonin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Unie Hlubina win (40%). Probabilities: TJ Unie Hlubina 40%, draw 25%, FK Hodonin 35%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Unie Hlubina vs FK Hodonin?

The model expects 3.1 goals (TJ Unie Hlubina 1.61 · FK Hodonin 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Unie Hlubina vs FK Hodonin?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.