Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 11/10, 10:15

Prediction: FK Jablonec B vs SK Sokol Brozany

Team pages: FK Jablonec B · SK Sokol Brozany

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

FK Jablonec B2.15

SK Sokol Brozany1.26

1X2

57% 22% 21%

FK Jablonec B Draw SK Sokol Brozany

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Jablonec B 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWDWLW

SK Sokol Brozany 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWLDLD

Head-to-head

FK Jablonec B 1–2–3 SK Sokol Brozany (6 last)

SK Sokol Brozany1-0FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B1-7SK Sokol Brozany
FK Jablonec B2-2SK Sokol Brozany
SK Sokol Brozany2-2FK Jablonec B
SK Sokol Brozany1-0FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B1-0SK Sokol Brozany

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Jablonec B 1536 · SK Sokol Brozany 1487

	FK Jablonec B	Draw	SK Sokol Brozany
Our model	57%	22%	21%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Jablonec B (rating 1536 vs 1487).
H2H favours SK Sokol Brozany: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Jablonec B	SK Sokol Brozany
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.8	1.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.26
2	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.66 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:54 +16’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:28 +50’	1.52	4.26	4.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec B 1–2–3 SK Sokol Brozany

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Brozany	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Jablonec B
22/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-7 HT 1-2	SK Sokol Brozany
18/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	2-2 HT 1-2	SK Sokol Brozany
20/10/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Brozany	2-2 HT 0-1	FK Jablonec B
05/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Brozany	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Jablonec B
07/10/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-0 HT 1-0	SK Sokol Brozany

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	11	7	4	0	20	4	25
2	FC Brno II	11	7	2	2	24	16	23
3	SK Unicov	11	7	2	2	22	14	23
4	Frydek Mistek	11	6	3	2	19	10	21
5	Sigma Olomouc B	11	6	1	4	20	13	19
6	SK Hranice	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
7	MFK Vitkovice	11	4	4	3	12	9	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	11	4	3	4	26	22	15
9	Slovacko II	11	4	3	4	16	12	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	11	4	3	4	18	18	15
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	11	4	3	4	13	16	15
12	FK Hodonin	11	4	2	5	14	13	14
13	SFK Vrchovina	11	4	2	5	13	20	14
14	MFK Karvina B	11	3	2	6	15	21	11
15	FC Vsetin	11	3	1	7	11	24	10
16	FK Blansko	11	1	5	5	16	28	8
17	Polanka	11	1	3	7	7	17	6
18	MFK Havirov	11	0	5	6	6	20	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Jablonec B	SK Sokol Brozany
SK Sokol Zapy	1-1 D	0-0 D
Velke Hamry	6-0 W	2-4 L
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Horni Redice	2-0 W	3-1 W
Pardubice B	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec B (1 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Jablonec B

LWDWDWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-1	4	5	W
27/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
20/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
13/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
06/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L

SK Sokol Brozany

WDLDDWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
26/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-4	–	–	L
20/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
16/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
12/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	6	W
06/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	2-5	–	–	L
09/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
06/06	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec B vs SK Sokol Brozany?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jablonec B win (57%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec B 57%, draw 22%, SK Sokol Brozany 21%.

How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec B vs SK Sokol Brozany?

The model expects 3.4 goals (FK Jablonec B 2.15 · SK Sokol Brozany 1.26), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Jablonec B vs SK Sokol Brozany?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.