Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 03/10, 15:00
Prediction: Frydek Mistek vs SFK Vrchovina
Team pages: Frydek Mistek · SFK Vrchovina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Frydek Mistek1.88
SFK Vrchovina0.78
1X2
Frydek Mistek
Draw
SFK Vrchovina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Frydek Mistek
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
SFK Vrchovina
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Frydek Mistek
3–2–1
SFK Vrchovina
(6 last)
- Frydek Mistek1-1SFK Vrchovina
- SFK Vrchovina4-1Frydek Mistek
- SFK Vrchovina0-1Frydek Mistek
- Frydek Mistek3-1SFK Vrchovina
- Frydek Mistek1-0SFK Vrchovina
- SFK Vrchovina0-0Frydek Mistek
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frydek Mistek 1537 · SFK Vrchovina 1485
| Frydek Mistek | Draw | SFK Vrchovina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frydek Mistek (rating 1537 vs 1485).
- H2H favours Frydek Mistek: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Frydek Mistek | SFK Vrchovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 5.9 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frydek Mistek 3–2–1 SFK Vrchovina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga | Frydek Mistek | 1-1 HT 1-1 | SFK Vrchovina |
| 06/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga | SFK Vrchovina | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Frydek Mistek |
| 19/03/23 Czechia 3. Liga | SFK Vrchovina | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Frydek Mistek |
| 20/08/22 Czechia 3. Liga | Frydek Mistek | 3-1 HT 1-0 | SFK Vrchovina |
| 28/05/22 Czechia 3. Liga | Frydek Mistek | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SFK Vrchovina |
| 23/10/21 Czechia 3. Liga | SFK Vrchovina | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Frydek Mistek |
Standings · Czechia 3. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Artis Brno B | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Brno II | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | SK Unicov | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Frydek Mistek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc B | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | SK Hranice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | MFK Vitkovice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | TJ Unie Hlubina | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 15 |
| 9 | Slovacko II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | CSK Uhersky Brod | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 11 | SFK Vrchovina | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | FC Trinity Zlin B | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 13 | FK Hodonin | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | MFK Karvina B | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 15 | FK Blansko | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Vsetin | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 7 |
| 17 | Polanka | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | MFK Havirov | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Frydek Mistek | SFK Vrchovina |
|---|---|---|
| MFK Karvina B | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| TJ Unie Hlubina | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| FC Vsetin | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Brno II | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| SK Hranice | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Frydek Mistek (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frydek Mistek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Polanka Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
SFK Vrchovina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 05/09 | SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/09 | Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/08 | SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frydek Mistek vs SFK Vrchovina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Frydek Mistek win (63%). Probabilities: Frydek Mistek 63%, draw 22%, SFK Vrchovina 15%.
How many goals are expected in Frydek Mistek vs SFK Vrchovina?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Frydek Mistek 1.88 · SFK Vrchovina 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Frydek Mistek vs SFK Vrchovina?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.