Football · Czechia Cup · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: FK Kozlovice vs Frydek Mistek
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
FK Kozlovice1.18
Frydek Mistek1.98
1X2
FK Kozlovice
Draw
Frydek Mistek
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Kozlovice
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Frydek Mistek
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Kozlovice
0–1–1
Frydek Mistek
(2 last)
- FK Kozlovice0-6Frydek Mistek
- FK Kozlovice2-2Frydek Mistek
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Kozlovice 1531 · Frydek Mistek 1538
| FK Kozlovice | Draw | Frydek Mistek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 21% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Kozlovice | Frydek Mistek | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 4.7 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kozlovice 0–1–1 Frydek Mistek
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/25 Czechia Cup | FK Kozlovice | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Frydek Mistek |
| 17/08/22 Czechia Cup | FK Kozlovice | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Frydek Mistek |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Kozlovice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | FK Blansko Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/06 | Breclav Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frydek Mistek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Trinec Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 29/04 | TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Kozlovice vs Frydek Mistek?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Frydek Mistek win (56%). Probabilities: FK Kozlovice 22%, draw 22%, Frydek Mistek 56%.
How many goals are expected in FK Kozlovice vs Frydek Mistek?
The model expects 3.16 goals (FK Kozlovice 1.18 · Frydek Mistek 1.98), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Kozlovice vs Frydek Mistek?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.