Football · Czechia Cup · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: SK Zabreh vs SK Hranice
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
SK Zabreh1.65
SK Hranice1.85
1X2
SK Zabreh
Draw
SK Hranice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SK Zabreh
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
SK Hranice
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Zabreh 1526 · SK Hranice 1474
| SK Zabreh | Draw | SK Hranice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Zabreh (rating 1526 vs 1474).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Zabreh | SK Hranice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4.5 | 3.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Zabreh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga |
3-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Opava B Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
SK Hranice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Zabreh vs SK Hranice?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Hranice win (43%). Probabilities: SK Zabreh 34%, draw 23%, SK Hranice 43%.
How many goals are expected in SK Zabreh vs SK Hranice?
The model expects 3.5 goals (SK Zabreh 1.65 · SK Hranice 1.85), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Zabreh vs SK Hranice?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.