Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 26/09, 15:30

Prediction: FK Hodonin vs FC Vsetin

Team pages: FK Hodonin · FC Vsetin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

FK Hodonin2.03

FC Vsetin1.05

1X2

59% 22% 19%

FK Hodonin Draw FC Vsetin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Hodonin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLWLLW

FC Vsetin 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWWD

Head-to-head

FK Hodonin 2–0 FC Vsetin (2 last)

FC Vsetin0-2FK Hodonin
FK Hodonin4-2FC Vsetin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Hodonin 1472 · FC Vsetin 1462

	FK Hodonin	Draw	FC Vsetin
Our model	59%	23%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Hodonin: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Hodonin	FC Vsetin
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	0.9 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.21
2	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.02 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:19 +1’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +115’	1.49	4.26	5.03
06:00 +61’	1.49▲	4.21▼	5.02▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Hodonin 2–0–0 FC Vsetin

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Vsetin	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Hodonin
27/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Hodonin	4-2 HT 0-2	FC Vsetin

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	SK Unicov	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
5	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
6	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
8	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
9	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
13	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
14	FK Hodonin	9	2	2	5	8	12	8
15	FK Blansko	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
16	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Hodonin	FC Vsetin
FC Brno II	1-0 W	0-5 L
MFK Karvina B	0-1 L	1-2 L
Sigma Olomouc B	2-0 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Hodonin (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Hodonin

LLDLDLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
06/09	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
02/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
29/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
23/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
08/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	3	6	D
01/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
13/06	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	3	2	L

FC Vsetin

LLLLLLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
13/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
05/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
02/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-5	4	4	L
29/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
15/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
08/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	2-4	3	1	L
02/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
13/06	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Hodonin vs FC Vsetin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Hodonin win (59%). Probabilities: FK Hodonin 59%, draw 22%, FC Vsetin 19%.

How many goals are expected in FK Hodonin vs FC Vsetin?

The model expects 3.09 goals (FK Hodonin 2.03 · FC Vsetin 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Hodonin vs FC Vsetin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.