Football · Czechia Cup · 25/07, 10:30
Prediction: Sparta Brno vs SFK Vrchovina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.01Total
Sparta Brno1.64
SFK Vrchovina2.36
1X2
Sparta Brno
Draw
SFK Vrchovina
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Sparta Brno
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
SFK Vrchovina
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sparta Brno 1495 · SFK Vrchovina 1505
| Sparta Brno | Draw | SFK Vrchovina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| Market | 26% | 20% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Brno | SFK Vrchovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 2.3 | 2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.1 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Brno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Slovan Rosice Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 9-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga |
5-1 | 8-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga |
5-0 | 8-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
SFK Vrchovina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Vysocina Jihlava Club Friendly List |
0-4 | 0-8 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Hlucin Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | TJ Start Brno Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 20/05 | SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Trinec Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Brno vs SFK Vrchovina?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SFK Vrchovina win (54%). Probabilities: Sparta Brno 26%, draw 20%, SFK Vrchovina 54%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Brno vs SFK Vrchovina?
The model expects 4.01 goals (Sparta Brno 1.64 · SFK Vrchovina 2.36), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Brno vs SFK Vrchovina?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.