Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 20/09, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Karvina B vs FK Blansko

Team pages: MFK Karvina B · FK Blansko

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

MFK Karvina B2.07

FK Blansko1.36

1X2

53% 23% 24%

MFK Karvina B Draw FK Blansko

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Karvina B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWLLWL

FK Blansko 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLLLDLD

Head-to-head

MFK Karvina B 1–5 FK Blansko (6 last)

FK Blansko3-1MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B1-2FK Blansko
FK Blansko0-2MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B1-2FK Blansko
FK Blansko3-0MFK Karvina B
MFK Karvina B0-1FK Blansko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Karvina B 1493 · FK Blansko 1460

	MFK Karvina B	Draw	FK Blansko
Our model	53%	23%	24%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Blansko: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Karvina B	FK Blansko
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.2 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.81 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:41 +4’	1.70	3.90	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +154’	1.81	3.79	3.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina B 1–0–5 FK Blansko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Blansko	3-1 HT 2-1	MFK Karvina B
24/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Blansko
07/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Blansko	0-2 HT 0-0	MFK Karvina B
10/11/24 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	1-2 HT 1-0	FK Blansko
14/06/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Blansko	3-0 HT 0-0	MFK Karvina B
12/11/23 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Karvina B	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Blansko

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	8	7	1	0	17	1	22
2	FC Brno II	8	6	1	1	22	14	19
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
5	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
6	Slovacko II	9	4	3	2	16	10	15
7	SK Unicov	8	4	2	2	13	10	14
8	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
9	MFK Vitkovice	8	3	3	2	8	7	12
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	8	3	2	3	11	11	11
12	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
13	MFK Karvina B	8	3	1	4	10	13	10
14	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
15	FK Hodonin	8	1	2	5	7	12	5
16	FK Blansko	8	0	4	4	9	21	4
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Karvina B	FK Blansko
Slovacko II	1-3 L	2-4 L
FK Hodonin	1-0 W	3-3 D
SFK Vrchovina	0-1 L	2-2 D
Polanka	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Karvina B (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Karvina B

WWLWDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
06/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
29/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
23/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
16/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
09/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
02/08	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	5	3	L
13/06	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
06/06	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	2	W

FK Blansko

LWDDLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
06/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
02/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
29/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-4	5	2	L
23/08	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
16/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	2-4	6	1	L
08/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	8	6	D
01/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	6	2	W
06/06	Trinec Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-5	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina B vs FK Blansko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina B win (53%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina B 53%, draw 23%, FK Blansko 24%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina B vs FK Blansko?

The model expects 3.43 goals (MFK Karvina B 2.07 · FK Blansko 1.36), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Karvina B vs FK Blansko?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.