Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 27/09, 10:15

Prediction: FK Jablonec B vs Hradec Kralove B

Team pages: FK Jablonec B · Hradec Kralove B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

FK Jablonec B1.93

Hradec Kralove B1.22

1X2

53% 23% 23%

FK Jablonec B Draw Hradec Kralove B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Jablonec B 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWDWDWDW

Hradec Kralove B 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDLDDL

Head-to-head

FK Jablonec B 1–2–3 Hradec Kralove B (6 last)

Hradec Kralove B2-5FK Jablonec B
Hradec Kralove B2-2FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B0-3Hradec Kralove B
Hradec Kralove B1-0FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B1-1Hradec Kralove B
FK Jablonec B1-2Hradec Kralove B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Jablonec B 1541 · Hradec Kralove B 1469

	FK Jablonec B	Draw	Hradec Kralove B
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Jablonec B (rating 1541 vs 1469).
H2H favours Hradec Kralove B: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Jablonec B	Hradec Kralove B
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5	1.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:00 +13’	1.67	4.00	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec B 1–2–3 Hradec Kralove B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/07/26 Club Friendly List	Hradec Kralove B	2-5 HT 2-2	FK Jablonec B
26/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Hradec Kralove B	2-2 HT 0-1	FK Jablonec B
27/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	0-3 HT 0-1	Hradec Kralove B
13/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Hradec Kralove B	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Jablonec B
23/10/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-1 HT 0-0	Hradec Kralove B
13/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-2 HT 1-1	Hradec Kralove B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	SK Unicov	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
5	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
6	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
8	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
9	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
13	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
14	FK Hodonin	9	2	2	5	8	12	8
15	FK Blansko	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
16	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Jablonec B	Hradec Kralove B
Varnsdorf	2-0 W	0-5 L
SK Sokol Zapy	1-1 D	1-2 L
Velke Hamry	6-0 W	0-0 D
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	1-1 D	0-0 D
FK Horni Redice	2-0 W	0-1 L
Pardubice B	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec B (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Jablonec B

LDLWDWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
13/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
06/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
06/06	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
31/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
28/05	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	5	6	L

Hradec Kralove B

WWLWDDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
23/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
09/08	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
07/06	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-5	9	1	L
31/05	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	7-0	13	7	W
27/05	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec B vs Hradec Kralove B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jablonec B win (53%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec B 53%, draw 23%, Hradec Kralove B 23%.

How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec B vs Hradec Kralove B?

The model expects 3.15 goals (FK Jablonec B 1.93 · Hradec Kralove B 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Jablonec B vs Hradec Kralove B?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.