Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 04/10, 10:15

Prediction: SK Unicov vs Polanka

Team pages: SK Unicov · Polanka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

SK Unicov2

Polanka0.78

1X2

66% 20% 14%

SK Unicov Draw Polanka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Unicov 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDDWW

Polanka 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDLLDW

Head-to-head

SK Unicov 1–1–0 Polanka (2 last)

SK Unicov1-1Polanka
Polanka2-3SK Unicov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Unicov 1539 · Polanka 1461

	SK Unicov	Draw	Polanka
Our model	65%	22%	13%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Unicov (rating 1539 vs 1461).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Unicov	Polanka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	0.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.3	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:23 +8’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Unicov 1–1–0 Polanka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Unicov	1-1 HT 0-1	Polanka
07/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Polanka	2-3 HT 1-1	SK Unicov

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	SK Unicov	10	6	2	2	19	13	20
4	Frydek Mistek	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
5	Sigma Olomouc B	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	SK Hranice	10	5	1	4	14	9	16
7	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	10	4	3	3	25	18	15
9	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	SFK Vrchovina	10	4	2	4	11	16	14
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
13	FK Hodonin	10	3	2	5	10	12	11
14	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
15	FK Blansko	10	1	4	5	15	27	7
16	FC Vsetin	10	2	1	7	10	24	7
17	Polanka	10	1	3	6	6	14	6
18	MFK Havirov	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Unicov	Polanka
Frydek Mistek	1-1 D	1-0 W
MFK Vitkovice	1-3 L	0-0 D
TJ Unie Hlubina	3-0 W	1-1 D
FC Vsetin	2-1 W	0-3 L
FC Brno II	1-2 L	1-3 L
SK Hranice	1-0 W	0-1 L
MFK Karvina B	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SK Unicov (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Unicov

WWLWWLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
20/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	3-2	4-3	11	6	W
13/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
05/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
02/09	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
30/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
22/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	11	2	W
16/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
07/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	9	2	W
02/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	3-2	5	3	W

Polanka

LLDLLDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
13/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
06/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	0	4	L
02/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
23/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
16/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
09/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
02/08	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Unicov vs Polanka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Unicov win (66%). Probabilities: SK Unicov 66%, draw 20%, Polanka 14%.

How many goals are expected in SK Unicov vs Polanka?

The model expects 2.78 goals (SK Unicov 2 · Polanka 0.78), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Unicov vs Polanka?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.