Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: MFK Vitkovice vs FC Brno II

Team pages: MFK Vitkovice · FC Brno II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

MFK Vitkovice1.29

FC Brno II1.53

1X2

32% 26% 42%

MFK Vitkovice Draw FC Brno II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Vitkovice 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Brno II 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MFK Vitkovice 1–1 FC Brno II (2 last)

FC Brno II4-1MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-1FC Brno II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Vitkovice 1467 · FC Brno II 1577

	MFK Vitkovice	Draw	FC Brno II
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Brno II (rating 1467 vs 1577).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Vitkovice	FC Brno II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	2.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +2’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Vitkovice 1–0–1 FC Brno II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Brno II	4-1 HT 2-0	MFK Vitkovice
30/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Brno II

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Vitkovice	FC Brno II
FC Trinity Zlin B	3-0 W	4-2 W
SK Artis Brno B	0-0 D	1-1 D
FK Blansko	0-0 D	1-1 D
Slovacko II	1-0 W	1-0 W
FK Hodonin	2-0 W	0-1 L
SFK Vrchovina	0-1 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Vitkovice (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
10/10	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	4	6	L
03/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	8	9	L
25/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
20/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
05/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
02/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
29/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L

FC Brno II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-2	6	1	W
13/10	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
25/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
20/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	2	9	W
06/09	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	1	4	W
02/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	3	4	W
30/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	5	W
23/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Vitkovice vs FC Brno II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Brno II win (42%). Probabilities: MFK Vitkovice 32%, draw 26%, FC Brno II 42%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Vitkovice vs FC Brno II?

The model expects 2.83 goals (MFK Vitkovice 1.29 · FC Brno II 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Vitkovice vs FC Brno II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.