Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: SFK Vrchovina vs MFK Havirov

Team pages: SFK Vrchovina · MFK Havirov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

SFK Vrchovina1.69

MFK Havirov1.21

1X2

48% 25% 27%

SFK Vrchovina Draw MFK Havirov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SFK Vrchovina 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDWLLL

MFK Havirov 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDLDWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SFK Vrchovina 1450 · MFK Havirov 1452

	SFK Vrchovina	Draw	MFK Havirov
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SFK Vrchovina	MFK Havirov
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	3.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.5	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +2’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	13	9	2	2	29	16	29
3	FC Brno II	13	8	3	2	29	19	27
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	13	7	1	5	23	17	22
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	13	5	2	6	19	16	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
13	MFK Karvina B	13	4	2	7	20	24	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	MFK Havirov	13	2	5	6	12	21	11
16	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
17	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
18	Polanka	13	2	3	8	12	20	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SFK Vrchovina	MFK Havirov
CSK Uhersky Brod	0-4 L	2-2 D
SK Unicov	0-4 L	0-2 L
Frydek Mistek	2-4 L	0-0 D
TJ Unie Hlubina	3-2 W	0-0 D
FC Vsetin	2-2 D	0-1 L
FC Brno II	0-3 L	1-3 L
SK Hranice	0-1 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Havirov (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SFK Vrchovina

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	10	5	L
10/10	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	4	4	L
03/10	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
26/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
19/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	10	5	D
12/09	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	5	9	L
05/09	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
02/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
29/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
22/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

MFK Havirov

LLLLDDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
11/10	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	8	W
03/10	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	7	D
27/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
19/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
05/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
30/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
21/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-6	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SFK Vrchovina vs MFK Havirov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SFK Vrchovina win (48%). Probabilities: SFK Vrchovina 48%, draw 25%, MFK Havirov 27%.

How many goals are expected in SFK Vrchovina vs MFK Havirov?

The model expects 2.91 goals (SFK Vrchovina 1.69 · MFK Havirov 1.21), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SFK Vrchovina vs MFK Havirov?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.