Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 25/09, 15:30

Prediction: FC Trinity Zlin B vs MFK Vitkovice

Team pages: FC Trinity Zlin B · MFK Vitkovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

FC Trinity Zlin B1.77

MFK Vitkovice1.17

1X2

51% 24% 25%

FC Trinity Zlin B Draw MFK Vitkovice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Trinity Zlin B 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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MFK Vitkovice 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Trinity Zlin B 2–1–2 MFK Vitkovice (5 last)

FC Trinity Zlin B4-1MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice3-0FC Trinity Zlin B
FC Trinity Zlin B2-1MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice1-1FC Trinity Zlin B
MFK Vitkovice1-0FC Trinity Zlin B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Trinity Zlin B 1509 · MFK Vitkovice 1508

	FC Trinity Zlin B	Draw	MFK Vitkovice
Our model	50%	26%	24%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Trinity Zlin B	MFK Vitkovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.4	2.9 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:02 +2’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Trinity Zlin B 2–1–2 MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	4-1 HT 2-0	MFK Vitkovice
02/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Trinity Zlin B
30/04/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Trinity Zlin B	2-1 HT 0-0	MFK Vitkovice
01/10/22 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Trinity Zlin B
12/01/19 Europe Friendlies	MFK Vitkovice	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Trinity Zlin B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	9	7	2	0	17	1	23
2	FC Brno II	9	6	1	2	22	15	19
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	SK Unicov	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
5	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
6	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
7	Slovacko II	9	4	3	2	16	10	15
8	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
9	MFK Vitkovice	9	3	4	2	8	7	13
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	9	3	3	3	12	13	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
13	MFK Karvina B	9	3	1	5	13	18	10
14	FK Hodonin	9	2	2	5	8	12	8
15	FK Blansko	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
16	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Trinity Zlin B	MFK Vitkovice
SK Artis Brno B	1-4 L	0-0 D
FK Blansko	4-1 W	0-0 D
CSK Uhersky Brod	1-1 D	1-4 L
Slovacko II	1-1 D	1-0 W
FK Hodonin	1-1 D	2-0 W
SFK Vrchovina	0-1 L	0-1 L
Polanka	2-1 W	0-0 D
MFK Havirov	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Trinity Zlin B (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Trinity Zlin B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
13/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-4	3	5	L
06/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	3	2	W
02/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
30/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
23/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
15/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
09/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
02/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/06	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W

MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
05/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
02/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
29/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
16/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
08/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	3	D
01/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	11	L
11/06	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	5-1	12	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Trinity Zlin B vs MFK Vitkovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Trinity Zlin B win (51%). Probabilities: FC Trinity Zlin B 51%, draw 24%, MFK Vitkovice 25%.

How many goals are expected in FC Trinity Zlin B vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model expects 2.94 goals (FC Trinity Zlin B 1.77 · MFK Vitkovice 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Trinity Zlin B vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.