Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: CSK Uhersky Brod vs MFK Havirov

Team pages: CSK Uhersky Brod · MFK Havirov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

CSK Uhersky Brod2.02

MFK Havirov0.9

1X2

63% 21% 16%

CSK Uhersky Brod Draw MFK Havirov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CSK Uhersky Brod 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDDLLW

MFK Havirov 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSK Uhersky Brod 1494 · MFK Havirov 1426

	CSK Uhersky Brod	Draw	MFK Havirov
Our model	63%	23%	15%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSK Uhersky Brod (rating 1494 vs 1426).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSK Uhersky Brod	MFK Havirov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	0.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
06:04 +14’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	SK Unicov	10	6	2	2	19	13	20
4	Frydek Mistek	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
5	Sigma Olomouc B	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	SK Hranice	10	5	1	4	14	9	16
7	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	10	4	3	3	25	18	15
9	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	SFK Vrchovina	10	4	2	4	11	16	14
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
13	FK Hodonin	10	3	2	5	10	12	11
14	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
15	FK Blansko	10	1	4	5	15	27	7
16	FC Vsetin	10	2	1	7	10	24	7
17	Polanka	10	1	3	6	6	14	6
18	MFK Havirov	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSK Uhersky Brod	MFK Havirov
SK Unicov	3-4 L	0-2 L
Frydek Mistek	1-3 L	0-0 D
TJ Unie Hlubina	1-1 D	0-0 D
FC Trinity Zlin B	1-1 D	0-1 L
FC Vsetin	2-1 W	0-1 L
FC Brno II	1-2 L	1-3 L
SK Hranice	1-0 W	0-6 L
MFK Karvina B	0-2 L	2-2 D
MFK Vitkovice	4-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 4 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: CSK Uhersky Brod (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSK Uhersky Brod

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Sigma Olomouc B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
20/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-3	3-4	3	6	L
12/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
05/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
29/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
23/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
15/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
09/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	7	L
01/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	4	11	W

MFK Havirov

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
19/09	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
05/09	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
30/08	FC Brno II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	5	L
21/08	SK Hranice Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-6	6	3	L
16/08	MFK Karvina B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
08/08	MFK Vitkovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
02/08	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSK Uhersky Brod vs MFK Havirov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSK Uhersky Brod win (63%). Probabilities: CSK Uhersky Brod 63%, draw 21%, MFK Havirov 16%.

How many goals are expected in CSK Uhersky Brod vs MFK Havirov?

The model expects 2.92 goals (CSK Uhersky Brod 2.02 · MFK Havirov 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CSK Uhersky Brod vs MFK Havirov?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.