Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 03/10, 10:15

Prediction: Sigma Olomouc B vs MFK Vitkovice

Team pages: Sigma Olomouc B · MFK Vitkovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Sigma Olomouc B2

MFK Vitkovice1.03

1X2

59% 22% 18%

Sigma Olomouc B Draw MFK Vitkovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sigma Olomouc B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLDWL

MFK Vitkovice 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWWDDW

Head-to-head

Sigma Olomouc B 1–1–1 MFK Vitkovice (3 last)

Sigma Olomouc B3-3MFK Vitkovice
MFK Vitkovice2-3Sigma Olomouc B
MFK Vitkovice2-1Sigma Olomouc B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sigma Olomouc B 1522 · MFK Vitkovice 1507

	Sigma Olomouc B	Draw	MFK Vitkovice
Our model	59%	23%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sigma Olomouc B	MFK Vitkovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:57 +17’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sigma Olomouc B 1–1–1 MFK Vitkovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Sigma Olomouc B	3-3 HT 2-1	MFK Vitkovice
15/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	MFK Vitkovice	2-3 HT 2-1	Sigma Olomouc B
04/02/17 Europe Friendlies	MFK Vitkovice	2-1 HT 1-0	Sigma Olomouc B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	SK Unicov	10	6	2	2	19	13	20
4	Frydek Mistek	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
5	Sigma Olomouc B	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	SK Hranice	10	5	1	4	14	9	16
7	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	10	4	3	3	25	18	15
9	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	10	4	2	4	16	16	14
11	SFK Vrchovina	10	4	2	4	11	16	14
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
13	FK Hodonin	10	3	2	5	10	12	11
14	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
15	FK Blansko	10	1	4	5	15	27	7
16	FC Vsetin	10	2	1	7	10	24	7
17	Polanka	10	1	3	6	6	14	6
18	MFK Havirov	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sigma Olomouc B	MFK Vitkovice
CSK Uhersky Brod	1-2 L	1-4 L
FC Trinity Zlin B	3-1 W	3-0 W
SK Unicov	1-1 D	3-1 W
SK Artis Brno B	0-2 L	0-0 D
FK Hodonin	0-2 L	2-0 W
FK Blansko	3-0 W	0-0 D
Slovacko II	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Vitkovice (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sigma Olomouc B

WWWWLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
19/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
02/09	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
28/08	Frydek Mistek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
23/08	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
15/08	TJ Unie Hlubina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	2	5	W
09/08	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
02/08	FC Vsetin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	12	4	W

MFK Vitkovice

LDDLWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	FC Trinity Zlin B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
20/09	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	FK Blansko Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
05/09	Slovacko II Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
02/09	SK Unicov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
29/08	FK Hodonin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
22/08	SFK Vrchovina Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
16/08	Polanka Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
08/08	MFK Havirov Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	15	3	D
01/08	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	11	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sigma Olomouc B vs MFK Vitkovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sigma Olomouc B win (59%). Probabilities: Sigma Olomouc B 59%, draw 22%, MFK Vitkovice 18%.

How many goals are expected in Sigma Olomouc B vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Sigma Olomouc B 2 · MFK Vitkovice 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sigma Olomouc B vs MFK Vitkovice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.