Football · Japan Football League · 03/10, 11:00

Prediction: Veertien Mie vs Verspah Oita

Team pages: Veertien Mie · Verspah Oita

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Veertien Mie1.4

Verspah Oita1.41

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Veertien Mie Draw Verspah Oita

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Veertien Mie 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLLWW

Verspah Oita 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWDWD

Head-to-head

Veertien Mie 1–3–2 Verspah Oita (6 last)

Verspah Oita0-2Veertien Mie
Veertien Mie0-0Verspah Oita
Verspah Oita0-0Veertien Mie
Veertien Mie1-4Verspah Oita
Verspah Oita1-1Veertien Mie
Veertien Mie1-2Verspah Oita

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veertien Mie 1496 · Verspah Oita 1531

	Veertien Mie	Draw	Verspah Oita
Our model	36%	28%	37%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Verspah Oita: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veertien Mie	Verspah Oita
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.60
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.55 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:56 +9’	2.55	3.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +10’	2.62	3.05	2.53
11:55 +77’	2.60▼	3.05	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veertien Mie 1–3–2 Verspah Oita

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Japan JFL Cup	Verspah Oita	0-2 HT 0-0	Veertien Mie
27/07/25 Japan Football League	Veertien Mie	0-0 HT 0-0	Verspah Oita
03/05/25 Japan Football League	Verspah Oita	0-0 HT 0-0	Veertien Mie
17/11/24 Japan Football League	Veertien Mie	1-4 HT 1-2	Verspah Oita
16/06/24 Japan Football League	Verspah Oita	1-1 HT 0-1	Veertien Mie
04/11/23 Japan Football League	Veertien Mie	1-2 HT 0-1	Verspah Oita

Standings · Japan Football League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Honda FC	5	4	0	1	6	4	12
2	Verspah Oita	5	3	2	0	8	4	11
3	Okinawa SV	5	3	1	1	11	5	10
4	Reinmeer Aomori	5	3	1	1	6	5	10
5	Criacao Shinjuku	5	3	1	1	3	3	10
6	YSCC	5	3	0	2	10	7	9
7	Azul Claro Numazu	5	2	3	0	6	4	9
8	Vonds Ichihara	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
9	Minebea Mitsumi	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
10	Veertien Mie	5	2	0	3	7	7	6
11	Maruyasu Okazaki	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
12	Grulla Morioka FC	5	1	2	2	5	7	5
13	FC Tiamo Hirakata	5	1	1	3	6	9	4
14	J-Lease FC	4	1	0	3	5	6	3
15	Briobecca Urayasu SC	5	0	1	4	4	11	1
16	Yokogawa Musashino FC	4	0	0	4	2	8	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veertien Mie	Verspah Oita
FC Tiamo Hirakata	2-3 L	0-2 L
Reinmeer Aomori	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veertien Mie

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
19/09	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
12/09	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
05/09	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League	0-2	1-3	7	1	L
23/11	Okinawa SV Japan Football League	1-0	6-0	8	2	W
15/11	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
09/11	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
01/11	YSCC Japan Football League	3-0	5-0	10	1	W
25/10	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Verspah Oita

LLLWWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
19/09	J-Lease FC Japan Football League	1-0	2-1	0	2	W
13/09	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
05/09	Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League	0-1	3-1	3	3	W
29/08	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	1-1	2-1	1	0	W
23/11	Atletico Suzuka Club Japan Football League	2-1	2-1	8	5	W
16/11	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/11	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	0-1	1-3	0	3	L
01/11	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
26/10	Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League	1-1	2-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veertien Mie vs Verspah Oita?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Veertien Mie win (36%). Probabilities: Veertien Mie 36%, draw 28%, Verspah Oita 36%.

How many goals are expected in Veertien Mie vs Verspah Oita?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Veertien Mie 1.4 · Verspah Oita 1.41), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Veertien Mie vs Verspah Oita?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.