Football · Japan Football League · 11/10, 08:00
Prediction: Verspah Oita vs Minebea Mitsumi
Team pages: Verspah Oita · Minebea Mitsumi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Verspah Oita1.61
Minebea Mitsumi1.02
1X2
Verspah Oita
Draw
Minebea Mitsumi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Verspah Oita
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Minebea Mitsumi
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Verspah Oita
4–2–0
Minebea Mitsumi
(6 last)
- Minebea Mitsumi0-2Verspah Oita
- Minebea Mitsumi1-2Verspah Oita
- Verspah Oita2-1Minebea Mitsumi
- Verspah Oita0-0Minebea Mitsumi
- Minebea Mitsumi1-3Verspah Oita
- Verspah Oita5-5Minebea Mitsumi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verspah Oita 1536 · Minebea Mitsumi 1494
| Verspah Oita | Draw | Minebea Mitsumi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Verspah Oita (rating 1536 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Verspah Oita: 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Verspah Oita | Minebea Mitsumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Verspah Oita 4–2–0 Minebea Mitsumi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Japan JFL Cup | Minebea Mitsumi | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Verspah Oita |
| 12/07/25 Japan Football League | Minebea Mitsumi | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Verspah Oita |
| 09/03/25 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Minebea Mitsumi |
| 03/11/24 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Minebea Mitsumi |
| 28/04/24 Japan Football League | Minebea Mitsumi | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Verspah Oita |
| 01/10/23 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 5-5 HT 3-1 | Minebea Mitsumi |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Reinmeer Aomori | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Azul Claro Numazu | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Honda FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Verspah Oita | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okinawa SV | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Vonds Ichihara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Minebea Mitsumi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Veertien Mie | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | YSCC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Grulla Morioka FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | J-Lease FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Verspah Oita | Minebea Mitsumi |
|---|---|---|
| Veertien Mie | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Briobecca Urayasu SC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Grulla Morioka FC | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Reinmeer Aomori | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Verspah Oita (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verspah Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 23/11 | Atletico Suzuka Club Japan Football League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/11 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Minebea Mitsumi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/11 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/11 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 09/11 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verspah Oita vs Minebea Mitsumi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Verspah Oita win (50%). Probabilities: Verspah Oita 50%, draw 27%, Minebea Mitsumi 23%.
How many goals are expected in Verspah Oita vs Minebea Mitsumi?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Verspah Oita 1.61 · Minebea Mitsumi 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Verspah Oita vs Minebea Mitsumi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.