Football · Japan Football League · 11/10, 06:00

Prediction: Grulla Morioka FC vs Honda FC

Team pages: Grulla Morioka FC · Honda FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Grulla Morioka FC1.07

Honda FC1.34

1X2

29% 28% 42%

Grulla Morioka FC Draw Honda FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Grulla Morioka FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWDLDWLL

Honda FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLWL

Head-to-head

Grulla Morioka FC 0–1–2 Honda FC (3 last)

Grulla Morioka FC0-2Honda FC
Honda FC2-2Grulla Morioka FC
Grulla Morioka FC1-2Honda FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grulla Morioka FC 1512 · Honda FC 1521

	Grulla Morioka FC	Draw	Honda FC
Our model	29%	30%	41%
Market	30%	27%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Honda FC: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grulla Morioka FC	Honda FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.30

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.32
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.13 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +5’	3.00	3.30	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:13 +45’	2.99	3.32	2.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grulla Morioka FC 0–1–2 Honda FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/09/25 Japan Football League	Grulla Morioka FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Honda FC
31/05/25 Japan Football League	Honda FC	2-2 HT 0-2	Grulla Morioka FC
22/09/16 Japan Cup	Grulla Morioka FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Honda FC

Standings · Japan Football League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criacao Shinjuku	6	4	1	1	7	4	13
2	Reinmeer Aomori	6	4	1	1	8	6	13
3	Azul Claro Numazu	6	3	3	0	8	4	12
4	Honda FC	6	4	0	2	6	5	12
5	Verspah Oita	6	3	2	1	8	7	11
6	Okinawa SV	6	3	1	2	11	7	10
7	Vonds Ichihara	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
8	Minebea Mitsumi	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
9	Veertien Mie	6	3	0	3	10	7	9
10	YSCC	6	3	0	3	11	11	9
11	Maruyasu Okazaki	6	2	0	4	7	8	6
12	FC Tiamo Hirakata	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
13	Grulla Morioka FC	6	1	2	3	5	8	5
14	J-Lease FC	5	1	1	3	6	7	4
15	Briobecca Urayasu SC	6	1	1	4	6	11	4
16	Yokogawa Musashino FC	5	0	0	5	2	10	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grulla Morioka FC	Honda FC
Vonds Ichihara	0-1 L	2-1 W
Minebea Mitsumi	2-1 W	0-1 L
Reinmeer Aomori	0-0 D	0-2 L
YSCC	3-2 W	1-0 W
Briobecca Urayasu SC	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Grulla Morioka FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grulla Morioka FC

DWLWDLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
27/09	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	9	1	D
05/09	Verspah Oita Japan Football League	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
29/08	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/11	YSCC Japan Football League	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
16/11	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	0-1	1-3	10	1	L
09/11	Atletico Suzuka Club Japan Football League	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
01/11	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D

Honda FC

WWWLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	8	0	L
27/09	YSCC Japan Football League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
19/09	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
12/09	Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League	2-0	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	Veertien Mie Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
29/08	J-Lease FC Japan Football League	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/11	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	2-1	2-3	5	0	L
16/11	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
08/11	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	10	0	W
01/11	Okinawa SV Japan Football League	1-1	3-1	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grulla Morioka FC vs Honda FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Honda FC win (42%). Probabilities: Grulla Morioka FC 29%, draw 28%, Honda FC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Grulla Morioka FC vs Honda FC?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Grulla Morioka FC 1.07 · Honda FC 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grulla Morioka FC vs Honda FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.