Football · Japan Football League · 03/10, 11:00
Prediction: Honda FC vs Minebea Mitsumi
Team pages: Honda FC · Minebea Mitsumi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Honda FC1.4
Minebea Mitsumi0.88
1X2
Honda FC
Draw
Minebea Mitsumi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Honda FC
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Minebea Mitsumi
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Honda FC
2–1–3
Minebea Mitsumi
(6 last)
- Minebea Mitsumi0-0Honda FC
- Minebea Mitsumi0-1Honda FC
- Honda FC1-3Minebea Mitsumi
- Minebea Mitsumi1-0Honda FC
- Honda FC3-0Minebea Mitsumi
- Honda FC0-1Minebea Mitsumi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Honda FC 1560 · Minebea Mitsumi 1476
| Honda FC | Draw | Minebea Mitsumi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Honda FC (rating 1560 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Minebea Mitsumi: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Honda FC | Minebea Mitsumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.9 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Honda FC 2–1–3 Minebea Mitsumi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Japan JFL Cup | Minebea Mitsumi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Honda FC |
| 16/11/25 Japan Football League | Minebea Mitsumi | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Honda FC |
| 15/06/25 Japan Football League | Honda FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Minebea Mitsumi |
| 10/11/24 Japan Football League | Minebea Mitsumi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Honda FC |
| 13/04/24 Japan Football League | Honda FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Minebea Mitsumi |
| 08/04/23 Japan Football League | Honda FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Minebea Mitsumi |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Honda FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Verspah Oita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Okinawa SV | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Reinmeer Aomori | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Criacao Shinjuku | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | YSCC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Azul Claro Numazu | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Vonds Ichihara | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Minebea Mitsumi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Veertien Mie | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Grulla Morioka FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | J-Lease FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Honda FC | Minebea Mitsumi |
|---|---|---|
| YSCC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Reinmeer Aomori | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Veertien Mie | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Briobecca Urayasu SC | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Okinawa SV | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Honda FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Honda FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 16/11 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 08/11 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/11 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 26/10 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Minebea Mitsumi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/11 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/11 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 09/11 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Honda FC vs Minebea Mitsumi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Honda FC win (49%). Probabilities: Honda FC 49%, draw 28%, Minebea Mitsumi 23%.
How many goals are expected in Honda FC vs Minebea Mitsumi?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Honda FC 1.4 · Minebea Mitsumi 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Honda FC vs Minebea Mitsumi?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.