Football · Japan Football League · 04/10, 06:00
Prediction: Okinawa SV vs Briobecca Urayasu SC
Team pages: Okinawa SV · Briobecca Urayasu SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Okinawa SV1.91
Briobecca Urayasu SC1.08
1X2
Okinawa SV
Draw
Briobecca Urayasu SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Okinawa SV
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Briobecca Urayasu SC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okinawa SV
2–1–3
Briobecca Urayasu SC
(6 last)
- Briobecca Urayasu SC1-0Okinawa SV
- Okinawa SV1-0Briobecca Urayasu SC
- Briobecca Urayasu SC2-1Okinawa SV
- Okinawa SV1-0Briobecca Urayasu SC
- Okinawa SV1-2Briobecca Urayasu SC
- Briobecca Urayasu SC0-0Okinawa SV
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okinawa SV 1502 · Briobecca Urayasu SC 1438
| Okinawa SV | Draw | Briobecca Urayasu SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Okinawa SV (rating 1502 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Briobecca Urayasu SC: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okinawa SV | Briobecca Urayasu SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okinawa SV 2–1–3 Briobecca Urayasu SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/25 Japan Football League | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Okinawa SV |
| 09/03/25 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 1-0 | Briobecca Urayasu SC |
| 20/07/24 Japan Football League | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Okinawa SV |
| 17/03/24 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Briobecca Urayasu SC |
| 30/07/23 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Briobecca Urayasu SC |
| 14/05/23 Japan Football League | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Okinawa SV |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azul Claro Numazu | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Honda FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Verspah Oita | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Okinawa SV | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Vonds Ichihara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Minebea Mitsumi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Reinmeer Aomori | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Criacao Shinjuku | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Veertien Mie | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | YSCC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Grulla Morioka FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | J-Lease FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okinawa SV | Briobecca Urayasu SC |
|---|---|---|
| Minebea Mitsumi | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Azul Claro Numazu | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Honda FC | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Reilac Shiga | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Briobecca Urayasu SC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okinawa SV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21/09 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/11 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/11 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/11 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 01/11 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Reilac Shiga Japan Football League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
Briobecca Urayasu SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-3 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/11 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/11 | Reilac Shiga Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/11 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/10 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okinawa SV vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Okinawa SV win (55%). Probabilities: Okinawa SV 55%, draw 25%, Briobecca Urayasu SC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Okinawa SV vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Okinawa SV 1.91 · Briobecca Urayasu SC 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Okinawa SV vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.