Football · Japan Football League · 04/10, 06:00
Prediction: Maruyasu Okazaki vs Reinmeer Aomori
Team pages: Maruyasu Okazaki · Reinmeer Aomori
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Maruyasu Okazaki1.25
Reinmeer Aomori1.56
1X2
Maruyasu Okazaki
Draw
Reinmeer Aomori
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Maruyasu Okazaki
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Reinmeer Aomori
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maruyasu Okazaki
2–3–1
Reinmeer Aomori
(6 last)
- Maruyasu Okazaki4-1Reinmeer Aomori
- Reinmeer Aomori2-2Maruyasu Okazaki
- Maruyasu Okazaki1-1Reinmeer Aomori
- Maruyasu Okazaki0-0Reinmeer Aomori
- Maruyasu Okazaki1-0Reinmeer Aomori
- Maruyasu Okazaki0-1Reinmeer Aomori
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maruyasu Okazaki 1517 · Reinmeer Aomori 1546
| Maruyasu Okazaki | Draw | Reinmeer Aomori | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Maruyasu Okazaki: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maruyasu Okazaki | Reinmeer Aomori | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 3.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maruyasu Okazaki 2–3–1 Reinmeer Aomori
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 18/05/25 Japan Football League | Reinmeer Aomori | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Maruyasu Okazaki |
| 27/04/24 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 02/09/23 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 03/04/22 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
| 05/12/21 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Reinmeer Aomori |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Honda FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Verspah Oita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Okinawa SV | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Reinmeer Aomori | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Criacao Shinjuku | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | YSCC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Azul Claro Numazu | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Vonds Ichihara | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Minebea Mitsumi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Veertien Mie | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Grulla Morioka FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | J-Lease FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maruyasu Okazaki | Reinmeer Aomori |
|---|---|---|
| Grulla Morioka FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Tiamo Hirakata | 3-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Verspah Oita | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Minebea Mitsumi | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Asuka FC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Yokogawa Musashino FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Honda FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Reinmeer Aomori (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maruyasu Okazaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 23/11 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 15/11 | Asuka FC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/11 | Reilac Shiga Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/11 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 26/10 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Reinmeer Aomori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/11 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 16/11 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/11 | Asuka FC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/11 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maruyasu Okazaki vs Reinmeer Aomori?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Reinmeer Aomori win (43%). Probabilities: Maruyasu Okazaki 29%, draw 28%, Reinmeer Aomori 43%.
How many goals are expected in Maruyasu Okazaki vs Reinmeer Aomori?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Maruyasu Okazaki 1.25 · Reinmeer Aomori 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maruyasu Okazaki vs Reinmeer Aomori?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.