Football · Japan Football League · 04/10, 11:00

Prediction: YSCC vs Criacao Shinjuku

Team pages: YSCC · Criacao Shinjuku

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

YSCC1.58

Criacao Shinjuku1.58

1X2

37% 27% 37%

YSCC Draw Criacao Shinjuku

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

YSCC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLWL

Criacao Shinjuku 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWWWDL

Head-to-head

YSCC 1–1–1 Criacao Shinjuku (3 last)

Criacao Shinjuku1-4YSCC
Criacao Shinjuku2-2YSCC
YSCC0-2Criacao Shinjuku

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · YSCC 1506 · Criacao Shinjuku 1484

	YSCC	Draw	Criacao Shinjuku
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	36%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	YSCC	Criacao Shinjuku
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.1	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.2	1.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.30

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.56 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.75 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.54

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.3% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +4’	2.25	3.30	2.75
20:00 +5’	2.50▲	3.30	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:22 +10’	2.56	3.13	2.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · YSCC 1–1–1 Criacao Shinjuku

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Japan JFL Cup	Criacao Shinjuku	1-4 HT 0-2	YSCC
11/10/25 Japan Football League	Criacao Shinjuku	2-2 HT 0-1	YSCC
22/03/25 Japan Football League	YSCC	0-2 HT 0-1	Criacao Shinjuku

Standings · Japan Football League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Honda FC	5	4	0	1	6	4	12
2	Verspah Oita	5	3	2	0	8	4	11
3	Okinawa SV	5	3	1	1	11	5	10
4	Reinmeer Aomori	5	3	1	1	6	5	10
5	Criacao Shinjuku	5	3	1	1	3	3	10
6	YSCC	5	3	0	2	10	7	9
7	Azul Claro Numazu	5	2	3	0	6	4	9
8	Vonds Ichihara	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
9	Minebea Mitsumi	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
10	Veertien Mie	5	2	0	3	7	7	6
11	Maruyasu Okazaki	5	2	0	3	6	6	6
12	Grulla Morioka FC	5	1	2	2	5	7	5
13	FC Tiamo Hirakata	5	1	1	3	6	9	4
14	J-Lease FC	4	1	0	3	5	6	3
15	Briobecca Urayasu SC	5	0	1	4	4	11	1
16	Yokogawa Musashino FC	4	0	0	4	2	8	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	YSCC	Criacao Shinjuku
Minebea Mitsumi	1-2 L	1-1 D
Yokogawa Musashino FC	3-2 W	1-0 W
Grulla Morioka FC	2-3 L	3-1 W
Veertien Mie	0-5 L	1-1 D
Asuka FC	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Criacao Shinjuku (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

YSCC

WLLWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
20/09	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	3-0	5-2	1	2	W
13/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
05/09	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	1-1	3-2	5	1	W
30/08	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
23/11	Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League	0-1	2-3	2	2	L
16/11	Atletico Suzuka Club Japan Football League	0-2	3-2	2	1	W
08/11	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
01/11	Veertien Mie Japan Football League	0-3	0-5	1	1	L
25/10	Asuka FC Japan Football League	2-0	3-1	6	0	W

Criacao Shinjuku

DDDWLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Okinawa SV Japan Football League	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
19/09	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
13/09	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	9	1	W
05/09	Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
30/08	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
23/11	Asuka FC Japan Football League	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
16/11	Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League	1-0	3-1	3	1	W
09/11	Veertien Mie Japan Football League	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
01/11	Reilac Shiga Japan Football League	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
25/10	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in YSCC vs Criacao Shinjuku?

According to our model, the most likely result is a YSCC win (37%). Probabilities: YSCC 37%, draw 27%, Criacao Shinjuku 37%.

How many goals are expected in YSCC vs Criacao Shinjuku?

The model expects 3.16 goals (YSCC 1.58 · Criacao Shinjuku 1.58), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in YSCC vs Criacao Shinjuku?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.