Football · Panama LPF · 13/09, 03:30

Prediction: Tauro FC vs CD Universitario

Team pages: Tauro FC · CD Universitario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Tauro FC1.52

CD Universitario1.03

1X2

47% 29% 24%

Tauro FC Draw CD Universitario

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tauro FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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CD Universitario 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tauro FC 3–2–1 CD Universitario (6 last)

Tauro FC2-0CD Universitario
Tauro FC1-0CD Universitario
CD Universitario2-1Tauro FC
Tauro FC4-1CD Universitario
CD Universitario2-2Tauro FC
Tauro FC1-1CD Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tauro FC 1479 · CD Universitario 1450

	Tauro FC	Draw	CD Universitario
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	47%	29%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tauro FC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 13.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tauro FC	CD Universitario
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.1 / 0.1	6.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.10

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.91▲	Pinn 1.97 ★
X	3.20 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.17
2	3.90 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:03 +6’	1.83	3.20	3.90
12:23 +2’	1.91▲	3.10▼	3.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:23 +109’	1.97	3.17	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauro FC 3–2–1 CD Universitario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	2-0 HT 1-0	CD Universitario
30/08/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Universitario
27/02/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	2-1 HT 0-1	Tauro FC
10/09/24 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	4-1 HT 2-1	CD Universitario
10/03/24 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	2-2 HT 2-0	Tauro FC
26/08/23 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Liga Panamena, Clausura 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Veraguas CD	16	7	4	5	26	23	25
2	Union Cocle	16	5	8	3	16	11	23
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	16	4	8	4	18	14	20
4	San Francisco FC	16	5	5	6	22	25	20
5	CD Universitario	16	3	5	8	19	27	14
6	Herrera FC	16	1	5	10	13	37	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tauro FC	CD Universitario
Union Cocle	2-0 W	1-1 D
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-1 W	2-2 D
CD Arabe Unido	0-1 L	0-0 D
Sporting San Miguelito	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tauro FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	4	12	W
29/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	9	10	W
25/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
18/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
09/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
02/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	9	D
28/07	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
03/05	UMECIT Panama LPF	2-2	2-5	5	5	L
26/04	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
18/04	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	3	6	D

CD Universitario

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
30/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
16/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
11/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
03/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-2	6	8	L
26/07	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
02/05	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	2-4	2-5	9	8	L
26/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
19/04	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tauro FC vs CD Universitario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tauro FC win (47%). Probabilities: Tauro FC 47%, draw 29%, CD Universitario 24%.

How many goals are expected in Tauro FC vs CD Universitario?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Tauro FC 1.52 · CD Universitario 1.03), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tauro FC vs CD Universitario?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.