Football · Argentina Championship Women · 12/07, 21:00
Prediction: CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) vs Lanus (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)1.85
Lanus (W)0.52
1X2
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)
Draw
Lanus (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Lanus (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) 1581 · Lanus (W) 1479
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | Draw | Lanus (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 23% | 9% |
| Market | 70% | 20% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) (rating 1581 vs 1479).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | Lanus (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 8 | Banfield (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | San Luis FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | Lanus (W) |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis FC (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Huracan (W) | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Belgrano (W) | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| River Plate (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Banfield (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 23/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 15/05 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/05 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Lanus (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) vs Lanus (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) win (69%). Probabilities: CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) 69%, draw 21%, Lanus (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) vs Lanus (W)?
The model expects 2.37 goals (CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) 1.85 · Lanus (W) 0.52), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) vs Lanus (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.