Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 10:30

Prediction: FK Komarov vs SK Petrin Plzen

Team pages: FK Komarov · SK Petrin Plzen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

FK Komarov1.45

SK Petrin Plzen1.93

1X2

28% 23% 48%

FK Komarov Draw SK Petrin Plzen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Komarov 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDDWWL

SK Petrin Plzen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

FK Komarov 2–1 SK Petrin Plzen (3 last)

SK Petrin Plzen2-3FK Komarov
SK Petrin Plzen1-0FK Komarov
FK Komarov1-0SK Petrin Plzen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Komarov 1544 · SK Petrin Plzen 1554

	FK Komarov	Draw	SK Petrin Plzen
Our model	28%	24%	48%
Market	29%	22%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Komarov: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Komarov	SK Petrin Plzen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	2.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	2.8 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.00

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:15 +55’	3.10	4.00	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Komarov 2–0–1 SK Petrin Plzen

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Czechia Cup	SK Petrin Plzen	2-3 HT 2-0	FK Komarov
09/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Petrin Plzen	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Komarov
12/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Komarov	1-0 HT 0-0	SK Petrin Plzen

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Komarov	SK Petrin Plzen
FC Rokycany	1-0 W	2-1 W
SK Strakonice	4-4 D	4-1 W
Spartak Pribram	1-1 D	4-3 W
FK Okula Nyrsko	2-0 W	4-0 W
SK Senco Doubravka	1-0 W	4-2 W
FC Krimice	2-1 W	1-4 L
FC Milevsko	0-0 D	3-0 W
FC Taborsko B	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 0 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Petrin Plzen (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Komarov

DDWWWDDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	7	7	W
26/09	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/09	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	3	5	D
12/09	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	7	6	W
02/09	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
29/08	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
16/08	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	5	D

SK Petrin Plzen

LWDWWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
11/10	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-1	12	0	W
03/10	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-3	6	7	W
26/09	FK Okula Nyrsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	8	4	L
12/09	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
30/08	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
22/08	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
14/08	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Komarov vs SK Petrin Plzen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Petrin Plzen win (48%). Probabilities: FK Komarov 28%, draw 23%, SK Petrin Plzen 48%.

How many goals are expected in FK Komarov vs SK Petrin Plzen?

The model expects 3.38 goals (FK Komarov 1.45 · SK Petrin Plzen 1.93), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Komarov vs SK Petrin Plzen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.