Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: SK Rapid Psary vs Slovan Velvary

Team pages: SK Rapid Psary · Slovan Velvary

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

SK Rapid Psary2.34

Slovan Velvary1.12

1X2

64% 20% 16%

SK Rapid Psary Draw Slovan Velvary

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Rapid Psary 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWDWD

Slovan Velvary 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLLLDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Rapid Psary 1560 · Slovan Velvary 1457

	SK Rapid Psary	Draw	Slovan Velvary
Our model	64%	20%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Rapid Psary (rating 1560 vs 1457).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Rapid Psary	Slovan Velvary
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.2	1.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 7	1.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:57 +15’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Rapid Psary	Slovan Velvary
SK Ujezd Praha 4	2-2 D	1-2 L
FK Brandys nad Labem	5-1 W	0-2 L
Sokol Hostoun	1-1 D	1-5 L
FC Tempo Prague	3-2 W	2-1 W
FK Ostrov	3-1 W	1-3 L
Hvezda Cheb	5-1 W	4-3 W
SK Slany	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SK Rapid Psary (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Rapid Psary

WLWWLWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	5	D
10/10	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-1	–	–	W
04/10	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
26/09	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
29/08	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
22/08	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
15/08	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	5	W

Slovan Velvary

DWWLWLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
10/10	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
03/10	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	0	9	L
26/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
20/09	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-5	5	4	L
12/09	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
06/09	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	9	2	L
29/08	Slavia Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
21/08	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-3	2	2	W
15/08	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Rapid Psary vs Slovan Velvary?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Rapid Psary win (64%). Probabilities: SK Rapid Psary 64%, draw 20%, Slovan Velvary 16%.

How many goals are expected in SK Rapid Psary vs Slovan Velvary?

The model expects 3.46 goals (SK Rapid Psary 2.34 · Slovan Velvary 1.12), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Rapid Psary vs Slovan Velvary?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.