Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 10:30

Prediction: Hlinsko vs Turnov

Team pages: Hlinsko · Turnov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.09Total

Hlinsko1.7

Turnov2.39

1X2

27% 21% 52%

Hlinsko Draw Turnov

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Hlinsko 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLLLL

Turnov 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Hlinsko 1–2–3 Turnov (6 last)

Turnov4-0Hlinsko
Hlinsko7-1Turnov
Turnov1-1Hlinsko
Hlinsko0-2Turnov
Hlinsko0-0Turnov
Turnov2-1Hlinsko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hlinsko 1468 · Turnov 1543

	Hlinsko	Draw	Turnov
Our model	27%	21%	52%
Market	26%	21%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 4.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Turnov (rating 1468 vs 1543).
H2H favours Turnov: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hlinsko	Turnov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.3	2.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.8	3.3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.20

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:58 +10’	3.40	4.20	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hlinsko 1–2–3 Turnov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Turnov	4-0 HT 3-0	Hlinsko
25/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	7-1 HT 3-1	Turnov
13/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Turnov	1-1 HT 1-1	Hlinsko
25/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	0-2 HT 0-0	Turnov
29/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	0-0 HT 0-0	Turnov
03/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Turnov	2-1 HT 2-1	Hlinsko

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hlinsko	Turnov
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	2-3 L	5-3 W
SK Kosmonosy	2-5 L	4-1 W
FK Chlumec N.C	0-2 L	0-1 L
SK Vysoke Myto	2-3 L	0-2 L
FK Prepere	0-5 L	2-5 L
FK Trutnov	1-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Turnov (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hlinsko

WWWLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
10/10	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
04/10	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	0	L
26/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-5	1	3	L
12/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	4	L
29/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	1	6	W
23/08	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	10	4	W

Turnov

WLLLWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
10/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
04/10	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-1	11	5	W
27/09	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
20/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-3	–	–	W
13/09	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	7	5	W
06/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-5	4	4	L
16/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hlinsko vs Turnov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Turnov win (52%). Probabilities: Hlinsko 27%, draw 21%, Turnov 52%.

How many goals are expected in Hlinsko vs Turnov?

The model expects 4.09 goals (Hlinsko 1.7 · Turnov 2.39), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hlinsko vs Turnov?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.