Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 14:30

Prediction: Usti N Orlici vs SK Vysoke Myto

Team pages: Usti N Orlici · SK Vysoke Myto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Usti N Orlici1.53

SK Vysoke Myto1.76

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Usti N Orlici Draw SK Vysoke Myto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Usti N Orlici 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWWLL

SK Vysoke Myto 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Usti N Orlici 4–0 SK Vysoke Myto (4 last)

Usti N Orlici2-1SK Vysoke Myto
SK Vysoke Myto0-1Usti N Orlici
SK Vysoke Myto0-2Usti N Orlici
SK Vysoke Myto0-2Usti N Orlici

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Usti N Orlici 1536 · SK Vysoke Myto 1598

	Usti N Orlici	Draw	SK Vysoke Myto
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Vysoke Myto (rating 1536 vs 1598).
H2H favours Usti N Orlici: 4-0-0.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Usti N Orlici	SK Vysoke Myto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	3.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 7.5	2.5 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:00 +11’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Usti N Orlici 4–0–0 SK Vysoke Myto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Usti N Orlici	2-1 HT 1-1	SK Vysoke Myto
19/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Vysoke Myto	0-1 HT 0-0	Usti N Orlici
11/08/21 Czechia Cup	SK Vysoke Myto	0-2 HT 0-1	Usti N Orlici
15/08/18 Czechia Cup	SK Vysoke Myto	0-2	Usti N Orlici

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Usti N Orlici	SK Vysoke Myto
Cechie Vykan	2-0 W	1-0 W
TJ Svitavy	0-0 D	5-3 W
Dvur Kralove	1-0 W	2-0 W
Hlinsko	2-1 W	3-2 W
FC Slavia HK	1-3 L	7-2 W
Letohrad	4-1 W	3-2 W
MFK Chrudim B	6-0 W	4-4 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Usti N Orlici

WWLWWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
11/10	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	0	5	L
04/10	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	12	6	W
05/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	4	W
29/08	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
15/08	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	5-0	6-0	6	2	W

SK Vysoke Myto

DWWDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	9	4	W
11/10	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	5-3	5	5	W
03/10	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	7-2	–	–	W
12/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	10	3	D
30/08	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
15/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Usti N Orlici vs SK Vysoke Myto?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Vysoke Myto win (43%). Probabilities: Usti N Orlici 33%, draw 24%, SK Vysoke Myto 43%.

How many goals are expected in Usti N Orlici vs SK Vysoke Myto?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Usti N Orlici 1.53 · SK Vysoke Myto 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Usti N Orlici vs SK Vysoke Myto?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.