Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 24/10, 10:15

Prediction: FC Slavia HK vs MFK Chrudim B

Team pages: FC Slavia HK · MFK Chrudim B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

FC Slavia HK2.77

MFK Chrudim B1.3

1X2

67% 18% 15%

FC Slavia HK Draw MFK Chrudim B

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Slavia HK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWLLDL

MFK Chrudim B 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLLLD

Head-to-head

FC Slavia HK 1–3 MFK Chrudim B (4 last)

FC Slavia HK1-2MFK Chrudim B
MFK Chrudim B3-2FC Slavia HK
FC Slavia HK6-1MFK Chrudim B
MFK Chrudim B4-1FC Slavia HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Slavia HK 1471 · MFK Chrudim B 1394

	FC Slavia HK	Draw	MFK Chrudim B
Our model	67%	17%	15%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Slavia HK (rating 1471 vs 1394).
H2H favours MFK Chrudim B: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Slavia HK	MFK Chrudim B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	1.2 / 3.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.3 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.3	1.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:05 +3’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Slavia HK 1–0–3 MFK Chrudim B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Slavia HK	1-2 HT 0-1	MFK Chrudim B
06/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	3-2 HT 0-2	FC Slavia HK
11/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Slavia HK	6-1 HT 4-1	MFK Chrudim B
14/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	4-1 HT 4-0	FC Slavia HK

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	11	9	0	2	36	14	27
2	Kravare	11	8	2	1	27	12	26
3	FC Vratimov	11	8	0	3	24	17	24
4	Hlucin	11	6	2	3	20	15	20
5	Opava B	11	6	1	4	26	20	19
6	Jiskra Rymarov	11	5	2	4	27	18	17
7	SK Stonava	11	5	2	4	21	18	17
8	TJ Valasske Mezirici	11	4	4	3	24	19	16
9	SK Zabreh	11	4	3	4	14	13	15
10	TJ Novy Jicin	11	4	3	4	18	21	15
11	Frydek Mistek B	11	4	0	7	21	25	12
12	Pusta Polom	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
13	FK Sumperk	11	2	4	5	14	17	10
14	Bridlicna	11	3	1	7	16	26	10
15	SSK Bilovec	11	2	2	7	7	24	8
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	11	1	0	10	12	42	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Slavia HK	MFK Chrudim B
Turnov	0-3 L	1-4 L
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-1 D	1-2 L
SK Kosmonosy	1-2 L	1-6 L
FK Chlumec N.C	0-2 L	2-3 L
SK Vysoke Myto	2-7 L	4-4 D
FK Prepere	0-1 L	1-2 L
FK Trutnov	2-2 D	0-5 L
Usti N Orlici	3-1 W	0-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: FC Slavia HK (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Slavia HK

WWDLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	9	2	L
10/10	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
03/10	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
26/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
23/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
19/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-7	–	–	L
12/09	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	6	6	W

MFK Chrudim B

LLLDLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
11/10	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-5	3	1	L
04/10	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	5	5	L
26/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
19/09	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-6	3	6	L
12/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
05/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	5	3	D
29/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
15/08	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	0-6	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Slavia HK vs MFK Chrudim B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Slavia HK win (67%). Probabilities: FC Slavia HK 67%, draw 18%, MFK Chrudim B 15%.

How many goals are expected in FC Slavia HK vs MFK Chrudim B?

The model expects 4.07 goals (FC Slavia HK 2.77 · MFK Chrudim B 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Slavia HK vs MFK Chrudim B?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.