Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 10/10, 10:15

Prediction: FC Krimice vs Spartak Sobeslav

Team pages: FC Krimice · Spartak Sobeslav

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

FC Krimice1.91

Spartak Sobeslav1.4

1X2

49% 24% 27%

FC Krimice Draw Spartak Sobeslav

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Krimice 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWWWD

Spartak Sobeslav 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWDWWW

Head-to-head

FC Krimice 0–2–0 Spartak Sobeslav (2 last)

FC Krimice2-2Spartak Sobeslav
Spartak Sobeslav1-1FC Krimice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Krimice 1562 · Spartak Sobeslav 1546

	FC Krimice	Draw	Spartak Sobeslav
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Krimice	Spartak Sobeslav
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.3	3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:54 +7’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Krimice 0–2–0 Spartak Sobeslav

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Krimice	2-2 HT 1-0	Spartak Sobeslav
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Sobeslav	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Krimice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	9	8	0	1	33	11	24
2	FC Vratimov	9	7	0	2	19	12	21
3	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
4	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
5	SK Stonava	9	5	2	2	20	12	17
6	Jiskra Rymarov	9	4	2	3	21	16	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	9	4	1	4	18	18	13
9	TJ Valasske Mezirici	9	3	3	3	21	17	12
10	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
11	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	9	2	1	6	12	21	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	9	0	0	9	8	38	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Krimice	Spartak Sobeslav
TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	1-1 D	2-2 D
Jiskra Domazlice B	1-0 W	3-2 W
SK Petrin Plzen	4-1 W	1-2 L
FK Horovicko	1-0 W	1-2 L
Slavoj Cesky Krumlov	4-2 W	5-1 W
FK Komarov	1-2 L	2-2 D
FC Rokycany	2-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Krimice (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Krimice

WLWWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
26/09	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
19/09	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	3	4	W
11/09	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
29/08	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
15/08	SK Strakonice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	12	6	W
08/08	Spartak Pribram Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
13/06	TJ Milin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Spartak Sobeslav

DWWLLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	SK Senco Doubravka Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	FC Milevsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
19/09	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/09	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
29/08	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
14/08	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	1	5	W
12/06	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
06/06	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Krimice vs Spartak Sobeslav?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Krimice win (49%). Probabilities: FC Krimice 49%, draw 24%, Spartak Sobeslav 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Krimice vs Spartak Sobeslav?

The model expects 3.31 goals (FC Krimice 1.91 · Spartak Sobeslav 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Krimice vs Spartak Sobeslav?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.