Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: SK Kosmonosy vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Team pages: SK Kosmonosy · Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

SK Kosmonosy2.1

Spartak Police Nad Metuji1.57

1X2

49% 23% 28%

SK Kosmonosy Draw Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Kosmonosy 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLWDWW

Spartak Police Nad Metuji 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLWWLLW

Head-to-head

SK Kosmonosy 2–1–1 Spartak Police Nad Metuji (4 last)

Spartak Police Nad Metuji5-1SK Kosmonosy
Spartak Police Nad Metuji1-1SK Kosmonosy
SK Kosmonosy4-2Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Spartak Police Nad Metuji1-2SK Kosmonosy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Kosmonosy 1539 · Spartak Police Nad Metuji 1502

	SK Kosmonosy	Draw	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Kosmonosy: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Kosmonosy	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.7	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +5’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Kosmonosy 2–1–1 Spartak Police Nad Metuji

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Police Nad Metuji	5-1 HT 3-0	SK Kosmonosy
15/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-1 HT 0-1	SK Kosmonosy
17/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Kosmonosy	4-2 HT 1-2	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
20/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-2 HT 1-0	SK Kosmonosy

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	4	4	0	0	15	3	12
2	Kravare	4	4	0	0	15	4	12
3	FC Vratimov	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
4	Hlucin	4	3	0	1	8	4	9
5	Jiskra Rymarov	4	2	1	1	9	5	7
6	Opava B	4	2	1	1	9	7	7
7	FK Sumperk	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
8	SK Zabreh	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
9	TJ Novy Jicin	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
10	SK Stonava	4	1	1	2	7	7	4
11	Pusta Polom	4	1	1	2	7	9	4
12	Bridlicna	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
14	SSK Bilovec	4	0	1	3	3	11	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	4	0	0	4	3	11	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	4	0	0	4	3	16	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Kosmonosy	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
FK Chlumec N.C	2-0 W	3-1 W
SK Vysoke Myto	2-2 D	0-2 L
FK Prepere	4-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Kosmonosy (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Kosmonosy

DWWLDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	6	3	W
23/08	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
08/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	4-2	6	5	W
13/06	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
07/06	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-3	3-3	4	1	D
30/05	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	5-1	–	–	W
09/05	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	1	D

Spartak Police Nad Metuji

WDDDLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
16/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
13/06	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
07/06	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
30/05	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	5	6	D
24/05	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
16/05	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-3	2	4	D
10/05	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Kosmonosy vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Kosmonosy win (49%). Probabilities: SK Kosmonosy 49%, draw 23%, Spartak Police Nad Metuji 28%.

How many goals are expected in SK Kosmonosy vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

The model expects 3.67 goals (SK Kosmonosy 2.1 · Spartak Police Nad Metuji 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Kosmonosy vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.