Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 29/08, 10:15

Prediction: SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs FK Ostrov

Team pages: SK Ujezd Praha 4 · FK Ostrov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

SK Ujezd Praha 41.94

FK Ostrov1.41

1X2

50% 23% 27%

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Draw FK Ostrov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Ujezd Praha 4 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWLDWL

FK Ostrov 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWLWLL

Head-to-head

SK Ujezd Praha 4 3–1–2 FK Ostrov (6 last)

FK Ostrov1-0SK Ujezd Praha 4
SK Ujezd Praha 43-1FK Ostrov
SK Ujezd Praha 42-1FK Ostrov
FK Ostrov1-0SK Ujezd Praha 4
FK Ostrov2-2SK Ujezd Praha 4
SK Ujezd Praha 42-1FK Ostrov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Ujezd Praha 4 1525 · FK Ostrov 1498

	SK Ujezd Praha 4	Draw	FK Ostrov
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Ujezd Praha 4: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Ujezd Praha 4	FK Ostrov
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.3	2.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:18 +14’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Ujezd Praha 4 3–1–2 FK Ostrov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	1-0 HT 0-0	SK Ujezd Praha 4
15/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	3-1 HT 1-1	FK Ostrov
08/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Ostrov
10/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	1-0 HT 0-0	SK Ujezd Praha 4
23/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	2-2 HT 1-1	SK Ujezd Praha 4
26/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Ostrov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
2	Kravare	3	3	0	0	12	4	9
3	Opava B	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
4	SK Zabreh	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
5	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
6	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
8	SK Stonava	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
9	Pusta Polom	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
10	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
11	FK Sumperk	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
13	SSK Bilovec	3	0	1	2	2	8	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
15	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Ujezd Praha 4	FK Ostrov
FC Karlovy Vary	1-4 L	2-0 W
SK Slany	2-2 D	4-0 W
Chomutov	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Ostrov (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Ujezd Praha 4

LDDWWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	4	L
15/08	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	2	7	D
13/06	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/06	FK Louny Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	4-1	5	3	W
30/05	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	8	6	W
23/05	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
16/05	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
08/05	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
05/05	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-3	7	5	L

FK Ostrov

WDWWDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
08/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
13/06	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/06	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
30/05	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
23/05	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
16/05	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/05	FK Olympie Brezova Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
01/05	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
25/04	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs FK Ostrov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Ujezd Praha 4 win (50%). Probabilities: SK Ujezd Praha 4 50%, draw 23%, FK Ostrov 27%.

How many goals are expected in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs FK Ostrov?

The model expects 3.35 goals (SK Ujezd Praha 4 1.94 · FK Ostrov 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs FK Ostrov?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.