Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 29/08, 10:15

Prediction: Chomutov vs Meteor Prague VIII

Team pages: Chomutov · Meteor Prague VIII

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Chomutov2.08

Meteor Prague VIII1.27

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Chomutov Draw Meteor Prague VIII

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Chomutov 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDWWW

Meteor Prague VIII 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chomutov 3–1–2 Meteor Prague VIII (6 last)

Chomutov2-1Meteor Prague VIII
Meteor Prague VIII0-1Chomutov
Meteor Prague VIII3-2Chomutov
Chomutov5-1Meteor Prague VIII
Meteor Prague VIII1-1Chomutov
Meteor Prague VIII4-1Chomutov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chomutov 1585 · Meteor Prague VIII 1479

	Chomutov	Draw	Meteor Prague VIII
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chomutov (rating 1585 vs 1479).
H2H favours Chomutov: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chomutov	Meteor Prague VIII
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.9	1.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	1.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:29 +2’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chomutov 3–1–2 Meteor Prague VIII

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Chomutov	2-1 HT 1-0	Meteor Prague VIII
12/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Meteor Prague VIII	0-1 HT 0-1	Chomutov
14/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Meteor Prague VIII	3-2 HT 1-2	Chomutov
16/09/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Chomutov	5-1 HT 1-0	Meteor Prague VIII
13/11/22 Czechia 4. Liga	Meteor Prague VIII	1-1 HT 1-0	Chomutov
20/03/22 Czechia 4. Liga	Meteor Prague VIII	4-1 HT 2-0	Chomutov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
2	Kravare	3	3	0	0	12	4	9
3	Opava B	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
4	SK Zabreh	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
5	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
6	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
8	SK Stonava	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
9	Pusta Polom	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
10	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
11	FK Sumperk	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
13	SSK Bilovec	3	0	1	2	2	8	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
15	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chomutov	Meteor Prague VIII
FK Usti nad Labem B	5-0 W	2-1 W
SK Rapid Psary	2-1 W	0-3 L
SK Ujezd Praha 4	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chomutov (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chomutov

WWWWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
15/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
07/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
05/06	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	6	1	W
30/05	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
22/05	FK Louny Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
15/05	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	1	4	W
08/05	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
05/05	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-2	5	5	W

Meteor Prague VIII

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
09/08	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
10/06	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	10	4	W
06/06	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
31/05	TJ Spoje Praha Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
23/05	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	2	4	L
17/05	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
08/05	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
03/05	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
25/04	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chomutov vs Meteor Prague VIII?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chomutov win (55%). Probabilities: Chomutov 55%, draw 23%, Meteor Prague VIII 22%.

How many goals are expected in Chomutov vs Meteor Prague VIII?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Chomutov 2.08 · Meteor Prague VIII 1.27), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chomutov vs Meteor Prague VIII?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.