Football · Czechia Cup · 01/08, 10:30
Prediction: Usti N Orlici vs TJ Svitavy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Usti N Orlici2.36
TJ Svitavy0.98
1X2
Usti N Orlici
Draw
TJ Svitavy
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Usti N Orlici
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
TJ Svitavy
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Usti N Orlici 1490 · TJ Svitavy 1500
| Usti N Orlici | Draw | TJ Svitavy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| Market | 69% | 16% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Usti N Orlici | TJ Svitavy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 2.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Usti N Orlici
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Hlinsko Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | SK Unicov Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/05 | Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
TJ Svitavy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Turnov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-3 | 4-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Usti N Orlici vs TJ Svitavy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Usti N Orlici win (68%). Probabilities: Usti N Orlici 68%, draw 18%, TJ Svitavy 14%.
How many goals are expected in Usti N Orlici vs TJ Svitavy?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Usti N Orlici 2.36 · TJ Svitavy 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Usti N Orlici vs TJ Svitavy?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.