Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 22/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Karlovy Vary vs SK Ujezd Praha 4

Team pages: FC Karlovy Vary · SK Ujezd Praha 4

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

FC Karlovy Vary1.92

SK Ujezd Praha 41.88

1X2

39% 23% 37%

FC Karlovy Vary Draw SK Ujezd Praha 4

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Karlovy Vary 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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SK Ujezd Praha 4 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Karlovy Vary 0–4 SK Ujezd Praha 4 (4 last)

FC Karlovy Vary2-3SK Ujezd Praha 4
SK Ujezd Praha 45-1FC Karlovy Vary
SK Ujezd Praha 42-0FC Karlovy Vary
FC Karlovy Vary0-2SK Ujezd Praha 4

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Karlovy Vary 1507 · SK Ujezd Praha 4 1553

	FC Karlovy Vary	Draw	SK Ujezd Praha 4
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Ujezd Praha 4 (rating 1507 vs 1553).
H2H favours SK Ujezd Praha 4: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Karlovy Vary	SK Ujezd Praha 4
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.8	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.8	1.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.00▼	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	2.40 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.89 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:23 +7’	2.30	3.75	2.40
09:41 +10’	2.00▼	3.90▲	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:49 +2’	1.95	3.63	2.95
10:56 +14’	1.95	3.66▲	2.95
15:58 +23’	1.98▲	3.66	2.89▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Karlovy Vary 0–0–4 SK Ujezd Praha 4

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Karlovy Vary	2-3 HT 0-2	SK Ujezd Praha 4
30/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	5-1 HT 3-0	FC Karlovy Vary
05/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Karlovy Vary
07/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Karlovy Vary	0-2 HT 0-2	SK Ujezd Praha 4

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kravare	3	3	0	0	12	4	9
2	Opava B	3	2	1	0	9	4	7
3	Jiskra Rymarov	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
4	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
5	Hlucin	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
5	FC Vratimov	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
7	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
8	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
9	TJ Novy Jicin	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
10	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	3	0	0	3	2	9	0
15	Bridlicna	3	0	0	3	2	10	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3	0	0	3	2	11	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Karlovy Vary	SK Ujezd Praha 4
Chomutov	1-1 D	2-3 L
Viktoria Marianske Lazne	4-1 W	2-1 W
SK Slany	2-2 D	2-2 D
FK Ostrov	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Karlovy Vary (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Karlovy Vary

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-4	2	6	L
12/08	FK Usti nad Labem Czechia Cup	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
07/08	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	1	7	W
02/08	Chomutov Czechia Cup	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
13/06	FC Predni Kopanina Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	6-0	10	0	W
06/06	FK Olympie Brezova Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	7-0	11	0	W
02/06	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
29/05	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	4-3	2	6	W
22/05	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-2	4	2	D
16/05	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L

SK Ujezd Praha 4

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	2	7	D
13/06	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/06	FK Louny Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	4-1	5	3	W
30/05	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	8	6	W
23/05	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
16/05	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
08/05	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
05/05	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-3	7	5	L
01/05	TJ Spoje Praha Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Karlovy Vary vs SK Ujezd Praha 4?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Karlovy Vary win (39%). Probabilities: FC Karlovy Vary 39%, draw 23%, SK Ujezd Praha 4 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Karlovy Vary vs SK Ujezd Praha 4?

The model expects 3.81 goals (FC Karlovy Vary 1.92 · SK Ujezd Praha 4 1.88), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Karlovy Vary vs SK Ujezd Praha 4?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.