Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 21/08, 18:30

Prediction: Chomutov vs FK Usti nad Labem B

Team pages: Chomutov · FK Usti nad Labem B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Chomutov1.98

FK Usti nad Labem B1.15

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Chomutov Draw FK Usti nad Labem B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Chomutov 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDDWW

FK Usti nad Labem B 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDWLLD

Head-to-head

Chomutov 1–1 FK Usti nad Labem B (2 last)

FK Usti nad Labem B3-0Chomutov
Chomutov1-0FK Usti nad Labem B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chomutov 1573 · FK Usti nad Labem B 1468

	Chomutov	Draw	FK Usti nad Labem B
Our model	56%	24%	21%
Market	56%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chomutov (rating 1573 vs 1468).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chomutov	FK Usti nad Labem B
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	1.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.60▲	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:38 +18’	1.57	4.00	4.33
04:20 +4’	1.60▲	4.00	4.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chomutov 1–0–1 FK Usti nad Labem B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem B	3-0 HT 0-0	Chomutov
03/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Chomutov	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Usti nad Labem B

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Kravare	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	Opava B	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	TJ Novy Jicin	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	FC Vratimov	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
9	Jiskra Rymarov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Hlucin	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Bridlicna	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chomutov	FK Usti nad Labem B
Banik Sokolov	1-0 W	0-6 L
SK Rapid Psary	2-1 W	0-0 D
Meteor Prague VIII	2-1 W	1-2 L
SK Ujezd Praha 4	3-2 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chomutov (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chomutov

WWWWLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
07/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
02/08	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia Cup	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
13/06	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
05/06	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	6	1	W
30/05	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
22/05	FK Louny Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
15/05	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	1	4	W
08/05	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
05/05	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-2	5	5	W

FK Usti nad Labem B

LWDDLDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	5	8	L
10/06	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
06/06	FC Predni Kopanina Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-2	–	–	W
30/05	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
23/05	TJ Spoje Praha Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	1	2	L
16/05	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
09/05	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	3-3	4	6	D
02/05	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-0	5	4	W
25/04	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chomutov vs FK Usti nad Labem B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chomutov win (56%). Probabilities: Chomutov 56%, draw 23%, FK Usti nad Labem B 21%.

How many goals are expected in Chomutov vs FK Usti nad Labem B?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Chomutov 1.98 · FK Usti nad Labem B 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chomutov vs FK Usti nad Labem B?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.