Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: SK Vysoke Myto vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Team pages: SK Vysoke Myto · Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

SK Vysoke Myto2.21

Spartak Police Nad Metuji1.48

1X2

53% 23% 24%

SK Vysoke Myto Draw Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

SK Vysoke Myto 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Spartak Police Nad Metuji 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SK Vysoke Myto 2–1–1 Spartak Police Nad Metuji (4 last)

Spartak Police Nad Metuji0-0SK Vysoke Myto
SK Vysoke Myto3-0Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Spartak Police Nad Metuji3-2SK Vysoke Myto
SK Vysoke Myto2-1Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Vysoke Myto 1539 · Spartak Police Nad Metuji 1493

	SK Vysoke Myto	Draw	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Our model	53%	22%	25%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Vysoke Myto (rating 1539 vs 1493).
H2H favours SK Vysoke Myto: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Vysoke Myto	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 1.8	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	90/0/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	5 / 6.1	2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 1.55 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	3.10 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:52 +34’	1.91	3.75	3.10
11:12 +6’	1.70▼	3.90▲	3.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Vysoke Myto 2–1–1 Spartak Police Nad Metuji

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Police Nad Metuji	0-0 HT 0-0	SK Vysoke Myto
06/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Vysoke Myto	3-0 HT 2-0	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
06/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Police Nad Metuji	3-2 HT 1-2	SK Vysoke Myto
07/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Vysoke Myto	2-1 HT 0-1	Spartak Police Nad Metuji

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Kravare	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	SK Zabreh	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	Opava B	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	TJ Novy Jicin	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	FK Sumperk	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	FC Vratimov	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
7	Pusta Polom	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
9	Jiskra Rymarov	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Hlucin	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
11	SK Stonava	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	SSK Bilovec	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	TJ Valasske Mezirici	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Frydek Mistek B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Bridlicna	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Vysoke Myto	Spartak Police Nad Metuji
SK Kosmonosy	2-2 D	5-1 W
FK Chlumec N.C	4-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SK Vysoke Myto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
11/08	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia Cup	1-2	2-4	7	2	L
08/08	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	8	5	W
02/08	Letohrad Czechia Cup	2-1	8-1	13	3	W
25/07	Hradec Kralove B Club Friendly List	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
22/07	Pardubice B Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
22/07	Pardubice B Club Friendly List	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
13/06	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-1	4	0	W
06/06	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-0	6	0	W
31/05	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	4	2	W

Spartak Police Nad Metuji

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/08	Viktoria Zizkov Czechia Cup	1-2	2-4	2	2	L
08/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
02/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia Cup	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
13/06	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
07/06	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
30/05	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	5	6	D
24/05	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
16/05	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-3	2	4	D
10/05	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Vysoke Myto vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Vysoke Myto win (53%). Probabilities: SK Vysoke Myto 53%, draw 23%, Spartak Police Nad Metuji 24%.

How many goals are expected in SK Vysoke Myto vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

The model expects 3.7 goals (SK Vysoke Myto 2.21 · Spartak Police Nad Metuji 1.48), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Vysoke Myto vs Spartak Police Nad Metuji?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.