Football · Czechia Cup · 01/08, 10:30
Prediction: FK Prepere vs Velke Hamry
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
FK Prepere1.18
Velke Hamry1.72
1X2
FK Prepere
Draw
Velke Hamry
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Prepere
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Velke Hamry
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Prepere
1–1–2
Velke Hamry
(4 last)
- Velke Hamry2-1FK Prepere
- FK Prepere1-3Velke Hamry
- Velke Hamry1-1FK Prepere
- Velke Hamry0-1FK Prepere
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Prepere 1532 · Velke Hamry 1431
| FK Prepere | Draw | Velke Hamry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 20% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Prepere (rating 1532 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Velke Hamry: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Prepere | Velke Hamry | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.6 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Prepere 1–1–2 Velke Hamry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga | Velke Hamry | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FK Prepere |
| 05/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Prepere | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Velke Hamry |
| 16/08/23 Czechia Cup | Velke Hamry | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Prepere |
| 01/05/19 Czechia 4. Liga | Velke Hamry | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Prepere |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Prepere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga |
1-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Velke Hamry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Prepere vs Velke Hamry?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Velke Hamry win (51%). Probabilities: FK Prepere 27%, draw 23%, Velke Hamry 51%.
How many goals are expected in FK Prepere vs Velke Hamry?
The model expects 2.89 goals (FK Prepere 1.18 · Velke Hamry 1.72), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Prepere vs Velke Hamry?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.