Prediction: Fjolnir vs Alftanes
Expected goals: 3.82 (Fjolnir 2.71 · Alftanes 1.11). The model gives 71% home, 16% draw, 13% away. Under 4 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Fjolnir with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Alftanes has piled up 9-0-1 in the same span.
| Fjolnir | Draw | Alftanes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| Market | 72% | 14% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alftanes (rating 1497 vs 1604).
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fjolnir | Alftanes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2.1 | 2.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 4.4 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fjolnir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 15/06 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/06 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Alftanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/06 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
5-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
4-0 | 5-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fjolnir vs Alftanes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fjolnir win (71%). Probabilities: Fjolnir 71%, draw 16%, Alftanes 13%.
How many goals are expected in Fjolnir vs Alftanes?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Fjolnir 2.71 · Alftanes 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Fjolnir vs Alftanes?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.