Prediction: Hamar Hveragerdi vs Dalvik/Reynir
Expected goals: 3.73 (Hamar Hveragerdi 1.05 · Dalvik/Reynir 2.68). The model gives 12% home, 16% draw, 72% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Hamar Hveragerdi sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while Dalvik/Reynir arrives on a 5-2-3 run.
| Hamar Hveragerdi | Draw | Dalvik/Reynir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| Market | 13% | 15% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamar Hveragerdi (rating 1606 vs 1542).
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hamar Hveragerdi | Dalvik/Reynir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.3 / 1.7 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.3 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 5.7 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamar Hveragerdi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
3-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/06 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/06 | Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-3 | 7-4 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
4-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
0-4 | 1-5 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 08/04 | Smari Iceland League Cup C |
4-1 | 6-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Dalvik/Reynir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
5-0 | 6-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 0-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamar Hveragerdi vs Dalvik/Reynir?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dalvik/Reynir win (72%). Probabilities: Hamar Hveragerdi 12%, draw 16%, Dalvik/Reynir 72%.
How many goals are expected in Hamar Hveragerdi vs Dalvik/Reynir?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Hamar Hveragerdi 1.05 · Dalvik/Reynir 2.68), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hamar Hveragerdi vs Dalvik/Reynir?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.