Prediction: Hviti Riddarinn vs Ymir Kopavogur
Expected goals: 3.49 (Hviti Riddarinn 2.31 · Ymir Kopavogur 1.18). The model gives 63% home, 19% draw, 18% away. Under 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Hviti Riddarinn is 2-5-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Ymir Kopavogur 2-3-5 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Hviti Riddarinn and 0 for Ymir Kopavogur, with 1 draw.
| Hviti Riddarinn | Draw | Ymir Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 63% | 18% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hviti Riddarinn (rating 1491 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Hviti Riddarinn: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hviti Riddarinn | Ymir Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hviti Riddarinn 3–1–0 Ymir Kopavogur
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/25 Iceland 3 Deild | Hviti Riddarinn | 5-2 HT 2-0 | Ymir Kopavogur |
| 24/05/25 Iceland 3 Deild | Ymir Kopavogur | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hviti Riddarinn |
| 26/07/23 Iceland 3 Deild | Hviti Riddarinn | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ymir Kopavogur |
| 25/05/23 Iceland 3 Deild | Ymir Kopavogur | 1-1 | Hviti Riddarinn |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hviti Riddarinn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
3-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 10/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Ymir Kopavogur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hviti Riddarinn vs Ymir Kopavogur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hviti Riddarinn win (63%). Probabilities: Hviti Riddarinn 63%, draw 19%, Ymir Kopavogur 18%.
How many goals are expected in Hviti Riddarinn vs Ymir Kopavogur?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Hviti Riddarinn 2.31 · Ymir Kopavogur 1.18), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hviti Riddarinn vs Ymir Kopavogur?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.