Football · Czechia First League · 06/09, 15:00
Prediction: FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec
Team pages: FK Jablonec · Slovan Liberec
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
FK Jablonec1.22
Slovan Liberec1.04
1X2
FK Jablonec
Draw
Slovan Liberec
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Jablonec
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Slovan Liberec
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Jablonec
3–2–1
Slovan Liberec
(6 last)
- FK Jablonec2-1Slovan Liberec
- FK Jablonec1-2Slovan Liberec
- Slovan Liberec0-2FK Jablonec
- FK Jablonec0-0Slovan Liberec
- Slovan Liberec0-5FK Jablonec
- Slovan Liberec3-3FK Jablonec
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Jablonec 1561 · Slovan Liberec 1555
| FK Jablonec | Draw | Slovan Liberec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Jablonec: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Jablonec | Slovan Liberec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.6 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec 3–2–1 Slovan Liberec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Slovan Liberec |
| 25/04/26 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Slovan Liberec |
| 25/10/25 Czechia First League | Slovan Liberec | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Jablonec |
| 08/03/25 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Slovan Liberec |
| 05/10/24 Czechia First League | Slovan Liberec | 0-5 HT 0-1 | FK Jablonec |
| 24/02/24 Czechia First League | Slovan Liberec | 3-3 HT 0-1 | FK Jablonec |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | FC Brno | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | FK Teplice | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Banik Ostrava | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Viktoria Plzen | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | SK Artis Brno | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 2 |
| 15 | Pardubice | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Jablonec | Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|
| FK Teplice | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Viktoria Plzen | 0-5 L | 3-1 W |
| Slavia Prague | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Hradec Kralove | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Sparta Prague | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Slovan Liberec (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Jablonec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-4 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
Slovan Liberec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 25/07 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jablonec win (40%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec 40%, draw 30%, Slovan Liberec 31%.
How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
The model expects 2.26 goals (FK Jablonec 1.22 · Slovan Liberec 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.