Football · Czechia First League · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc

Team pages: Viktoria Plzen · Sigma Olomouc

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Viktoria Plzen2.01

Sigma Olomouc1.08

1X2

58% 24% 19%

Viktoria Plzen Draw Sigma Olomouc

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Viktoria Plzen 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWLLDDWDWD

Sigma Olomouc 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Viktoria Plzen 5–1 Sigma Olomouc (6 last)

Sigma Olomouc1-2Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen1-0Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc1-2Viktoria Plzen
Sigma Olomouc2-1Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen2-1Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc1-3Viktoria Plzen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viktoria Plzen 1529 · Sigma Olomouc 1550

	Viktoria Plzen	Draw	Sigma Olomouc
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	57%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Viktoria Plzen: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viktoria Plzen	Sigma Olomouc
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.8	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.8	1.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.75

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Pinn 1.62
X	3.80 → 3.75▼	Pinn 4.11 ★
2	4.75 → 5.00▲	Pinn 5.08

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:49 +2’	1.60	3.80	4.75
01:05 +7’	1.60	3.75▼	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +6’	1.60	4.04	5.10
15:07 +26’	1.62▲	4.00▼	5.00▼
09:11 +15’	1.62	4.02▲	5.00
07:00 +75’	1.61▼	4.06▲	5.00
15:01 +222’	1.62▲	4.11▲	5.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Plzen 5–0–1 Sigma Olomouc

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	1-2 HT 1-2	Viktoria Plzen
13/09/25 Czechia First League	Viktoria Plzen	1-0 HT 1-0	Sigma Olomouc
18/05/25 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	1-2 HT 1-0	Viktoria Plzen
03/02/25 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	2-1 HT 2-1	Viktoria Plzen
17/09/24 Czechia First League	Viktoria Plzen	2-1 HT 1-0	Sigma Olomouc
17/12/23 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	1-3 HT 1-2	Viktoria Plzen

Standings · Czechia First League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	7	5	2	0	21	5	17
2	Slovan Liberec	7	5	1	1	10	4	16
3	Mlada Boleslav	6	4	2	0	15	6	14
4	FC Brno	7	4	1	2	10	9	13
5	FK Teplice	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
6	FK Jablonec	7	4	1	2	10	6	13
7	Sigma Olomouc	7	4	1	2	13	8	13
8	Hradec Kralove	7	3	2	2	6	6	11
9	Viktoria Plzen	7	2	4	1	14	12	10
10	Sparta Prague	7	3	0	4	13	12	9
11	Banik Ostrava	7	3	0	4	4	13	9
12	Bohemians 1905	6	1	3	2	6	9	6
13	SK Artis Brno	7	1	1	5	6	16	4
14	Slovacko	7	0	3	4	5	12	3
15	Pardubice	7	0	2	5	5	12	2
16	FC Trinity Zlin	7	0	0	7	6	16	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viktoria Plzen	Sigma Olomouc
SK Artis Brno	3-0 W	2-1 W
Slovacko	1-1 D	2-1 W
FK Jablonec	5-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Viktoria Plzen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viktoria Plzen

DWLLDDWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/09	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
30/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	0-0	1-1	5	12	D
15/08	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	2-1	3-2	6	3	W
08/08	FK Teplice Czechia First League	4-3	5-5	1	5	D
01/08	FC Brno Czechia First League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
25/07	Slovan Liberec Czechia First League	0-1	1-3	5	7	L
24/05	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-3	0-3	5	2	L
17/05	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	4-0	5-0	7	2	W
12/05	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	9	2	D

Sigma Olomouc

LWWLDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
29/08	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
23/08	Pardubice Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
09/08	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
02/08	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	1-1	2-2	8	1	D
26/07	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	1-0	1-2	0	3	L
23/05	MFK Karvina Czechia First League	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
16/05	MFK Karvina Czechia First League	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
10/05	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viktoria Plzen win (58%). Probabilities: Viktoria Plzen 58%, draw 24%, Sigma Olomouc 19%.

How many goals are expected in Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Viktoria Plzen 2.01 · Sigma Olomouc 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.