Football · Czechia First League · 13/09, 13:00
Prediction: Banik Ostrava vs Pardubice
Team pages: Banik Ostrava · Pardubice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Banik Ostrava1.72
Pardubice1.22
1X2
Banik Ostrava
Draw
Pardubice
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Banik Ostrava
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Pardubice
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banik Ostrava
4–1–1
Pardubice
(6 last)
- Banik Ostrava1-4Pardubice
- Pardubice3-3Banik Ostrava
- Pardubice0-1Banik Ostrava
- Banik Ostrava5-2Pardubice
- Pardubice0-2Banik Ostrava
- Pardubice2-3Banik Ostrava
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banik Ostrava 1494 · Pardubice 1478
| Banik Ostrava | Draw | Pardubice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Banik Ostrava: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banik Ostrava | Pardubice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.7 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banik Ostrava 4–1–1 Pardubice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 Czechia First League | Banik Ostrava | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Pardubice |
| 05/11/25 Czechia Cup | Pardubice | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Banik Ostrava |
| 01/10/25 Czechia First League | Pardubice | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Banik Ostrava |
| 29/03/25 Czechia First League | Banik Ostrava | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Pardubice |
| 05/03/25 Czechia Cup | Pardubice | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Banik Ostrava |
| 26/10/24 Czechia First League | Pardubice | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Banik Ostrava |
Standings · Czechia First League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | FC Brno | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Teplice | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Hradec Kralove | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Viktoria Plzen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | Sparta Prague | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | Banik Ostrava | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 13 | SK Artis Brno | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 15 | Pardubice | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 2 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banik Ostrava | Pardubice |
|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Sigma Olomouc | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| SK Artis Brno | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Hradec Kralove | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Slavia Prague | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Trinity Zlin | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Slovacko | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Pardubice (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banik Ostrava
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Dukla Praha Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Pardubice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | MFK Karvina Czechia First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | MFK Karvina Czechia First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banik Ostrava vs Pardubice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banik Ostrava win (48%). Probabilities: Banik Ostrava 48%, draw 26%, Pardubice 26%.
How many goals are expected in Banik Ostrava vs Pardubice?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Banik Ostrava 1.72 · Pardubice 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Banik Ostrava vs Pardubice?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.