Football · Czechia First League · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: Mlada Boleslav vs Banik Ostrava

Team pages: Mlada Boleslav · Banik Ostrava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Mlada Boleslav1.69

Banik Ostrava0.94

1X2

54% 26% 20%

Mlada Boleslav Draw Banik Ostrava

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Mlada Boleslav 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWLWDWDW

Banik Ostrava 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWLLWW

Head-to-head

Mlada Boleslav 1–4–1 Banik Ostrava (6 last)

Banik Ostrava0-0Mlada Boleslav
Banik Ostrava0-0Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav1-1Banik Ostrava
Banik Ostrava2-1Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav0-0Banik Ostrava
Banik Ostrava0-1Mlada Boleslav

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mlada Boleslav (rating 1578 vs 1520).
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mlada Boleslav	Banik Ostrava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.5	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.39 → 2.29▼	Pinn 2.29
X	3.30 → 3.35▲	Pinn 3.35
2	2.84 → 3.05▲	Pinn 3.05

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:22 +2’	2.39	3.30	2.84
11:35	2.42▲	3.35▲	2.85▲
12:29 +1’	2.29▼	3.35	3.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mlada Boleslav 1–4–1 Banik Ostrava

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	0-0 HT 0-0	Mlada Boleslav
22/02/26 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	0-0 HT 0-0	Mlada Boleslav
21/09/25 Czechia First League	Mlada Boleslav	1-1 HT 0-1	Banik Ostrava
09/03/25 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	2-1 HT 2-1	Mlada Boleslav
06/10/24 Czechia First League	Mlada Boleslav	0-0 HT 0-0	Banik Ostrava
11/05/24 Czechia First League	Banik Ostrava	0-1 HT 0-1	Mlada Boleslav

Standings · Czechia First League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	6	4	2	0	17	5	14
2	Slovan Liberec	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
3	Mlada Boleslav	5	3	2	0	11	6	11
4	FC Brno	5	3	1	1	9	5	10
5	Sigma Olomouc	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
6	FK Teplice	6	3	1	2	12	12	10
7	Sparta Prague	6	3	0	3	12	10	9
8	FK Jablonec	4	3	0	1	5	3	9
9	Banik Ostrava	5	3	0	2	4	6	9
10	Hradec Kralove	4	2	1	1	4	4	7
11	Viktoria Plzen	5	1	3	1	11	12	6
12	Bohemians 1905	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
13	SK Artis Brno	6	1	1	4	6	13	4
14	Slovacko	6	0	2	4	5	12	2
15	Pardubice	6	0	1	5	5	12	1
16	FC Trinity Zlin	6	0	0	6	5	13	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mlada Boleslav	Banik Ostrava
Slovacko	2-1 W	1-2 L
Sigma Olomouc	2-2 D	1-0 W
SK Artis Brno	4-2 W	1-0 W
FK Teplice	0-2 L	1-2 L
Dukla Praha	1-2 L	3-0 W
FC Trinity Zlin	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Banik Ostrava (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mlada Boleslav

DDLWLWDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
15/08	Pardubice Czechia First League	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
08/08	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	2-0	2-0	1	5	W
02/08	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	1-1	2-2	6	1	D
27/07	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	2-1	4-2	6	4	W
23/05	FK Teplice Czechia First League	0-0	0-2	19	0	L
16/05	Slovacko Czechia First League	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
12/05	Dukla Praha Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
09/05	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/05	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Banik Ostrava

DLLWWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
09/08	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
01/08	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	0-3	0-4	11	2	L
25/07	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
23/05	Dukla Praha Czechia First League	1-0	3-0	7	5	W
16/05	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	10	2	W
12/05	Slovacko Czechia First League	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
09/05	FK Teplice Czechia First League	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
02/05	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mlada Boleslav vs Banik Ostrava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mlada Boleslav win (54%). Probabilities: Mlada Boleslav 54%, draw 26%, Banik Ostrava 20%.

How many goals are expected in Mlada Boleslav vs Banik Ostrava?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Mlada Boleslav 1.69 · Banik Ostrava 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mlada Boleslav vs Banik Ostrava?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.