Football · Czechia First League · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905

Team pages: Sigma Olomouc · Bohemians 1905

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Sigma Olomouc1.75

Bohemians 19051.03

1X2

53% 26% 21%

Sigma Olomouc Draw Bohemians 1905

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sigma Olomouc 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDWWWL

Bohemians 1905 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLDWD

Head-to-head

Sigma Olomouc 3–1–2 Bohemians 1905 (6 last)

Sigma Olomouc0-2Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 19051-3Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc1-0Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 19052-2Sigma Olomouc
Bohemians 19050-1Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc1-3Bohemians 1905

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sigma Olomouc 1574 · Bohemians 1905 1550

	Sigma Olomouc	Draw	Bohemians 1905
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sigma Olomouc: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sigma Olomouc	Bohemians 1905
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +6’	1.73	3.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sigma Olomouc 3–1–2 Bohemians 1905

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	0-2 HT 0-1	Bohemians 1905
02/05/26 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	1-3 HT 0-1	Sigma Olomouc
01/03/26 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	1-0 HT 1-0	Bohemians 1905
27/09/25 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	2-2 HT 1-2	Sigma Olomouc
09/03/25 Czechia First League	Bohemians 1905	0-1 HT 0-1	Sigma Olomouc
06/10/24 Czechia First League	Sigma Olomouc	1-3 HT 0-2	Bohemians 1905

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	6	4	2	0	17	5	14
2	Slovan Liberec	6	4	1	1	8	3	13
3	Mlada Boleslav	5	3	2	0	11	6	11
4	FC Brno	5	3	1	1	9	5	10
5	Sigma Olomouc	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
6	FK Teplice	6	3	1	2	12	12	10
7	Sparta Prague	6	3	0	3	12	10	9
8	FK Jablonec	4	3	0	1	5	3	9
9	Banik Ostrava	5	3	0	2	4	6	9
10	Hradec Kralove	4	2	1	1	4	4	7
11	Viktoria Plzen	5	1	3	1	11	12	6
12	Bohemians 1905	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
13	SK Artis Brno	6	1	1	4	6	13	4
14	Slovacko	6	0	2	4	5	12	2
15	Pardubice	6	0	1	5	5	12	1
16	FC Trinity Zlin	6	0	0	6	5	13	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sigma Olomouc

WLWWLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
23/08	Pardubice Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Slovacko Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
09/08	SK Artis Brno Czechia First League	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
02/08	Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League	1-1	2-2	8	1	D
26/07	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	1-0	1-2	0	3	L
23/05	MFK Karvina Czechia First League	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
16/05	MFK Karvina Czechia First League	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
10/05	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
02/05	Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	5	1	W

Bohemians 1905

LWWWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Slavia Prague Czechia First League	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
08/08	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
02/08	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
25/07	FK Teplice Czechia First League	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
10/05	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
02/05	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-1	1-3	6	1	L
25/04	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
18/04	Banik Ostrava Czechia First League	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
11/04	FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League	1-1	2-1	10	5	W
05/04	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sigma Olomouc win (53%). Probabilities: Sigma Olomouc 53%, draw 26%, Bohemians 1905 21%.

How many goals are expected in Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Sigma Olomouc 1.75 · Bohemians 1905 1.03), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.