Football · Czechia First League · 18/10, 18:00
Prediction: FK Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzen
Team pages: FK Jablonec · Viktoria Plzen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
FK Jablonec1.53
Viktoria Plzen1.58
1X2
FK Jablonec
Draw
Viktoria Plzen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Jablonec
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Viktoria Plzen
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Jablonec
0–3–3
Viktoria Plzen
(6 last)
- Viktoria Plzen5-0FK Jablonec
- FK Jablonec3-3Viktoria Plzen
- Viktoria Plzen1-1FK Jablonec
- Viktoria Plzen4-1FK Jablonec
- Viktoria Plzen3-2FK Jablonec
- FK Jablonec0-0Viktoria Plzen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Jablonec 1529 · Viktoria Plzen 1494
| FK Jablonec | Draw | Viktoria Plzen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Viktoria Plzen: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Jablonec | Viktoria Plzen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.9 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec 0–3–3 Viktoria Plzen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 5-0 HT 4-0 | FK Jablonec |
| 23/11/25 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 26/07/25 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Jablonec |
| 24/05/25 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 4-1 HT 3-0 | FK Jablonec |
| 01/12/24 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 3-2 HT 0-2 | FK Jablonec |
| 03/08/24 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Viktoria Plzen |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 5 | Sparta Prague | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Teplice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Brno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Viktoria Plzen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | Banik Ostrava | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 10 |
| 14 | SK Artis Brno | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Jablonec | Viktoria Plzen |
|---|---|---|
| FC Brno | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Trinity Zlin | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Slovan Liberec | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| FK Teplice | 0-2 L | 5-5 D |
| Slovacko | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sigma Olomouc | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Jablonec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/09 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Viktoria Plzen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
4-3 | 5-5 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Viktoria Plzen win (38%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec 36%, draw 27%, Viktoria Plzen 38%.
How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzen?
The model expects 3.11 goals (FK Jablonec 1.53 · Viktoria Plzen 1.58), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzen?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.