Football · Czechia First League · 25/10, 15:00
Prediction: Sparta Prague vs Slovacko
Team pages: Sparta Prague · Slovacko
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Sparta Prague2.42
Slovacko0.91
1X2
Sparta Prague
Draw
Slovacko
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Sparta Prague
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Slovacko
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sparta Prague
4–2–0
Slovacko
(6 last)
- Sparta Prague5-2Slovacko
- Slovacko0-0Sparta Prague
- Slovacko0-2Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague2-2Slovacko
- Slovacko2-4Sparta Prague
- Slovacko1-3Sparta Prague
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sparta Prague 1596 · Slovacko 1491
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Slovacko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Prague (rating 1596 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Sparta Prague: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Prague | Slovacko | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 7.3 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Prague 4–2–0 Slovacko
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Slovacko |
| 19/10/25 Czechia First League | Slovacko | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sparta Prague |
| 02/02/25 Czechia First League | Slovacko | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Sparta Prague |
| 24/08/24 Czechia First League | Sparta Prague | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Slovacko |
| 05/05/24 Czechia First League | Slovacko | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Sparta Prague |
| 25/02/24 Czechia First League | Slovacko | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Sparta Prague |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Sparta Prague | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Brno | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | FK Teplice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Viktoria Plzen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | Banik Ostrava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | SK Artis Brno | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sparta Prague | Slovacko |
|---|---|---|
| Banik Ostrava | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Pardubice | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sigma Olomouc | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Jablonec | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| SK Artis Brno | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Mlada Boleslav | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sparta Prague (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Prague
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Slovacko
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 22/08 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Prague vs Slovacko?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Prague win (70%). Probabilities: Sparta Prague 70%, draw 19%, Slovacko 11%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Prague vs Slovacko?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Sparta Prague 2.42 · Slovacko 0.91), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Prague vs Slovacko?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.