Football · Czechia First League · 25/10, 13:00
Prediction: Hradec Kralove vs FK Jablonec
Team pages: Hradec Kralove · FK Jablonec
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Hradec Kralove1.17
FK Jablonec0.87
1X2
Hradec Kralove
Draw
FK Jablonec
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Hradec Kralove
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
FK Jablonec
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hradec Kralove
1–2–3
FK Jablonec
(6 last)
- FK Jablonec1-1Hradec Kralove
- Hradec Kralove2-0FK Jablonec
- FK Jablonec2-0Hradec Kralove
- Hradec Kralove1-2FK Jablonec
- Hradec Kralove1-1FK Jablonec
- FK Jablonec2-0Hradec Kralove
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hradec Kralove 1505 · FK Jablonec 1504
| Hradec Kralove | Draw | FK Jablonec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Jablonec: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hradec Kralove | FK Jablonec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.5 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hradec Kralove 1–2–3 FK Jablonec
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hradec Kralove |
| 29/11/25 Czechia First League | Hradec Kralove | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Jablonec |
| 02/08/25 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hradec Kralove |
| 12/03/25 Czechia Cup | Hradec Kralove | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FK Jablonec |
| 01/03/25 Czechia First League | Hradec Kralove | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Jablonec |
| 28/09/24 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hradec Kralove |
Standings · Czechia First League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Sparta Prague | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Brno | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | FK Teplice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Viktoria Plzen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | Banik Ostrava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | SK Artis Brno | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hradec Kralove | FK Jablonec |
|---|---|---|
| FK Teplice | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Trinity Zlin | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Viktoria Plzen | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Sparta Prague | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Brno | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Slovan Liberec | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Banik Ostrava | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Bohemians 1905 | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hradec Kralove
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 02/09 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
FK Jablonec
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/09 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hradec Kralove vs FK Jablonec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hradec Kralove win (43%). Probabilities: Hradec Kralove 43%, draw 30%, FK Jablonec 27%.
How many goals are expected in Hradec Kralove vs FK Jablonec?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Hradec Kralove 1.17 · FK Jablonec 0.87), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hradec Kralove vs FK Jablonec?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.