Football · Czechia First League · 25/10, 18:00
Prediction: Viktoria Plzen vs Pardubice
Team pages: Viktoria Plzen · Pardubice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Viktoria Plzen2
Pardubice1.04
1X2
Viktoria Plzen
Draw
Pardubice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Viktoria Plzen
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Pardubice
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Viktoria Plzen
4–1–1
Pardubice
(6 last)
- Viktoria Plzen0-1Pardubice
- Pardubice1-5Viktoria Plzen
- Pardubice0-0Viktoria Plzen
- Viktoria Plzen2-0Pardubice
- Pardubice2-3Viktoria Plzen
- Viktoria Plzen6-2Pardubice
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktoria Plzen 1497 · Pardubice 1540
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Pardubice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pardubice (rating 1497 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Viktoria Plzen: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Viktoria Plzen | Pardubice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Plzen 4–1–1 Pardubice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pardubice |
| 18/07/25 Czechia First League | Pardubice | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 09/03/25 Czechia First League | Pardubice | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 06/10/24 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Pardubice |
| 02/03/24 Czechia First League | Pardubice | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 24/09/23 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Pardubice |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Sparta Prague | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Brno | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | FK Teplice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Viktoria Plzen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | Banik Ostrava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | SK Artis Brno | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Viktoria Plzen | Pardubice |
|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Mlada Boleslav | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Slavia Prague | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Sigma Olomouc | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| SK Artis Brno | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Slovacko | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Trinity Zlin | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Viktoria Plzen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktoria Plzen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 09/09 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
4-3 | 5-5 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | FC Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Pardubice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Bohemians 1905 Czechia First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Banik Ostrava Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktoria Plzen vs Pardubice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Viktoria Plzen win (59%). Probabilities: Viktoria Plzen 59%, draw 23%, Pardubice 18%.
How many goals are expected in Viktoria Plzen vs Pardubice?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Viktoria Plzen 2 · Pardubice 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen vs Pardubice?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.